← UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs TorresAsu AlmabayevCharles Johnson

Asu Almabayev vs Charles Johnson — Flyweight — estaba programada para el sábado, 27 de junio de 2026 en UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres en National Gymnastics Arena, Baku. Resultado oficial aún no registrado. Picks Terminal cubre el enfrentamiento con una estimación de probabilidad de victoria, un desglose del enfrentamiento e inteligencia extraída de fuentes públicas.

Cartelera principal · FlyweightID · BC0B9683-60E4-4F17-AED1-9B2302EAEB89

Rango #8 · Flyweight

Asu Almabayev

"Zulfikar"

23-3-0 · Sambo / Grappling

Rango #14 · Flyweight

Charles Johnson

"Inner G"

19-8-0 · Freestyle / Striking

Modelo de probabilidad de victoria · v4.2

Almabayev

65%

Ventaja30%

Johnson

35%

Comparación de habilidades

76
82
Golpeo
88
74
Lucha
84
90
Cardio
82
78
Defensa de derribos
85
88
Resistencia de mentón

Atributos físicos

AlmabayevMétricaJohnson
5'4"Estatura5'9"
65"Alcance70"
32Edad35
OrtodoxaPosturaCambiante
57%Tasa de finalización58%

Inteligencia de la pelea

Consenso público

— Datos de consenso no disponibles —

Últimas noticias

— Sin noticias recientes —

Análisis detallado

Traduciendo…
Ventajas clave
  • Almabayev's submission threat
  • Johnson's 5-inch height and reach advantage
  • Almabayev's dominant top control
  • Johnson's superior cardiovascular endurance in late rounds
Posibles riesgos
  • Almabayev's struggles with significant size discrepancies
  • Johnson's historically vulnerable takedown defense against high-level wrestlers
  • Almabayev being forced into a high-volume kickboxing match
Análisis del modelo

A classic 'grappler vs. volume striker' clash where Almabayev's elite chain wrestling meets Johnson's relentless pace and physical frame.

Pronóstico

This AI forecast anticipates a fight defined by contrasting phases of control. In the opening round, Almabayev is expected to close the distance quickly, likely securing a takedown within the first three minutes to establish dominance on the ground. As the fight progresses into the second, Johnson’s cardio will allow him to increase the striking pace, occasionally catching Almabayev in transitions, but the Kazakh's superior wrestling should allow him to reset the fight in the clinch. The majority of the bout will likely occur on the canvas or against the fence where Almabayev excels at draining his opponent's energy. Unless Johnson can find a late-round knockout as Almabayev slows, the most probable outcome is Asu Almabayev securing a unanimous decision victory via control time. Confidence level is moderate at 65% due to Johnson's proven durability and recent momentum.

Las valoraciones de habilidades, la probabilidad de victoria, las ventajas, los riesgos y el pronóstico son estimaciones generadas por el modelo a partir de perfiles públicos de peleadores — no son estadísticas oficiales de UFC ni garantías de resultado.

Desglose del enfrentamiento

This matchup features two of the most active flyweights on the roster. Almabayev is a suffocating grappler who utilizes Sambo-based entries to neutralize opponents. His recent submission of Alex Perez proves his top-game is lethal. Charles Johnson, conversely, is a tall, switch-hitting striker who thrives on volume and chaotic scrambles. The critical factor will be Johnson's ability to utilize his frame to stuff Almabayev's entries. If Johnson can keep the fight at range, his jab and kick variety could frustrate the Kazakh. However, Almabayev’s technical wrestling transitions often allow him to overcome reach deficits by timing level changes under wide strikes.

Picks Terminal Semanal

Un informe táctico de UFC — previa los lunes, actualizaciones los viernes.

Cada lunes: la cartelera completa, las peleas clave y la probabilidad estimada por el modelo. Cada viernes: novedades a medida que se acerca la noche de pelea. Gratis, sin relleno, cancelas con un clic.