← UFC 332: Silva vs WangAndrey PulyaevDamian Pinas

Andrey Pulyaev vs Damian PinasUFC 332: Silva vs Wang

Andrey Pulyaev vs Damian Pinas — Middleweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 at UFC 332: Silva vs Wang in Delta Center, Salt Lake City. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · MiddleweightID · 90088834-43B2-4198-AE42-37F7392D8B22

Unranked · Middleweight

Andrey Pulyaev

10-3-0 · MMA

Unranked · Middleweight

Damian Pinas

"The Baba Yaga"

10-1-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Pulyaev

45%

Edge10%

Pinas

55%

Skill Comparison

72
75
Striking
57
62
Wrestling
63
63
Cardio
56
86
Takedown Defense
73
67
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

PulyaevMetricPinas
6' 4"Height6' 1"
78.5"Reach79.5"
28Age24
—Stance—
80%Finish Rate—

Career Records

PulyaevMetricPinas
6Wins by KO/TKO9
2Wins by Submission0
5First-Round Finishes8
3.60Sig. Strikes / Min6.33
2.94Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.89
—Striking Accuracy56%
55%Striking Defense39%
0.27Knockdown Avg / 15 min6.67
—Takedowns / 15 min0
—Takedown Accuracy0%
56%Takedown Defense86%
—Submissions / 15 min0

Strike Distribution

Pulyaev

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

65%

Body

28%

Leg

8%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Pulyaev

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 78%Standing78%
Clinch — 16%Clinch16%
Ground — 7%Ground7%

Primary Position Standing

Pinas

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

63%

Body

12%

Leg

25%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Pinas

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 84%Standing84%
Clinch — 2%Clinch2%
Ground — 14%Ground14%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Pulyaev

Strengths

  • SApM edge (2.94 vs 5.89)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Damian Pinas changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Pinas

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (6.33 vs 3.6)
  • TDD edge (86 vs 56)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Andrey Pulyaev changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Pinas
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (6.33 vs 3.6)
  • TDD edge (86 vs 56)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Andrey Pulyaev can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Pinas' output and activity earn a slight edge; Pulyaev's durability, counters and submission threat keep every phase competitive.

Forecast

Expect Damian Pinas and Andrey Pulyaev to test the matchup's primary phase early. Damian Pinas is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Pinas projects to win more minutes by maintaining pressure and forcing Pulyaev to defend layered offense. Pulyaev's route is to disrupt that pace with clinch work, timely grappling and counters when Pinas squares up during extended combinations. The estimate is an analyst-model forecast built from current UFC data and sample quality, not a market probability.

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