← UFC 332: Silva vs WangBenardo SopajMarcus McGhee

Benardo Sopaj vs Marcus McGheeUFC 332: Silva vs Wang

Benardo Sopaj vs Marcus McGhee — Bantamweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 at UFC 332: Silva vs Wang in Delta Center, Salt Lake City. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · BantamweightID · 896FFD4A-7D96-4706-84F2-EB14ACC99277
Benardo Sopaj

Unranked · Bantamweight

Benardo Sopaj

"Lion King"

13-3-0 · MMA

Marcus McGhee

Rank #15 · Bantamweight

Marcus McGhee

"The Maniac"

11-2-0 · Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Sopaj

42%

Edge16%

McGhee

58%

Skill Comparison

74
78
Striking
61
63
Wrestling
63
63
Cardio
77
90
Takedown Defense
69
71
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

SopajMetricMcGhee
5' 6"Height5' 8"
66"Reach69"
25Age36
—Stance—
85%Finish Rate82%

Career Records

SopajMetricMcGhee
7Wins by KO/TKO8
4Wins by Submission1
7First-Round Finishes—
4.39Sig. Strikes / Min5.44
4.69Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.64
53%Striking Defense56%
0.81Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.72
77%Takedown Defense90%

Strike Distribution

Sopaj

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

86%

Body

6%

Leg

9%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Sopaj

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 51%Standing51%
Clinch — 10%Clinch10%
Ground — 39%Ground39%

Primary Position Standing

McGhee

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

70%

Body

16%

Leg

13%
Sig. Strikes by Target — McGhee

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 94%Standing94%
Clinch — 3%Clinch3%
Ground — 3%Ground3%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Sopaj

Strengths

  • More complete available official UFC profile

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Marcus McGhee changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
McGhee

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (5.44 vs 4.39)
  • SApM edge (3.64 vs 4.69)
  • TDD edge (90 vs 77)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Benardo Sopaj changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors McGhee
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (5.44 vs 4.39)
  • SApM edge (3.64 vs 4.69)
  • TDD edge (90 vs 77)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Benardo Sopaj can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

McGhee's cleaner standing volume and defensive structure create the steadier route; Sopaj's grappling and opportunistic finishing remain the principal threats.

Forecast

Expect Marcus McGhee and Benardo Sopaj to test the matchup's primary phase early. Marcus McGhee is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

McGhee should keep the fight at range, punish entries and avoid prolonged scrambles. Sopaj needs to turn striking exchanges into clinch and mat sequences, where his submission activity can outweigh McGhee's cleaner minute-to-minute striking. The estimate is an analyst-model forecast built from current UFC data and sample quality, not a market probability.

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