← UFC 332: Silva vs WangDeiveson FigueiredoPayton Talbott

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton TalbottUFC 332: Silva vs Wang

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott — Bantamweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 at UFC 332: Silva vs Wang in Delta Center, Salt Lake City. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Co-Main Event · BantamweightID · FDEA20C1-12EB-4735-B9C9-A0216103E461
Deiveson Figueiredo

Rank #9 · Bantamweight

Deiveson Figueiredo

"Deus da Guerra"

25-7-1 · Boxing

Payton Talbott

Rank #11 · Bantamweight

Payton Talbott

11-1-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Figueiredo

42%

Edge16%

Talbott

58%

Skill Comparison

67
79
Striking
57
61
Wrestling
63
63
Cardio
57
78
Takedown Defense
72
72
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

FigueiredoMetricTalbott
5' 5"Height5' 10"
68"Reach70.5"
38Age28
—Stance—
72%Finish Rate73%

Career Records

FigueiredoMetricTalbott
9Wins by KO/TKO7
9Wins by Submission1
11First-Round Finishes1
2.57Sig. Strikes / Min6.62
3.43Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.41
50%Striking Defense47%
0.64Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.59
57%Takedown Defense78%

Strike Distribution

Figueiredo

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

60%

Body

28%

Leg

12%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Figueiredo

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 76%Standing76%
Clinch — 7%Clinch7%
Ground — 17%Ground17%

Primary Position Standing

Talbott

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

71%

Body

20%

Leg

9%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Talbott

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 73%Standing73%
Clinch — 10%Clinch10%
Ground — 17%Ground17%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Figueiredo

Strengths

  • More complete available official UFC profile

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Payton Talbott changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Talbott

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (6.62 vs 2.57)
  • SApM edge (3.41 vs 3.43)
  • TDD edge (78 vs 57)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Deiveson Figueiredo changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Talbott
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (6.62 vs 2.57)
  • SApM edge (3.41 vs 3.43)
  • TDD edge (78 vs 57)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Deiveson Figueiredo can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Talbott's output, size and sustained pace produce the cleaner minute-winning path; Figueiredo retains the sharper power and submission threat in high-leverage exchanges.

Forecast

Expect Deiveson Figueiredo and Payton Talbott to test the matchup's primary phase early. Payton Talbott is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Talbott should use length and combination volume to keep Figueiredo reacting at range. Figueiredo can reverse the projection by shortening exchanges, landing the heavier counter or creating a scramble where his finishing instincts matter more than aggregate output. The estimate is an analyst-model forecast built from current UFC data and sample quality, not a market probability.

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