← UFC 332: Silva vs WangEsteban RibovicsKing Green

Esteban Ribovics vs King GreenUFC 332: Silva vs Wang

Esteban Ribovics vs King Green — Lightweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 at UFC 332: Silva vs Wang in Delta Center, Salt Lake City. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · LightweightID · EA71EADD-4677-42E5-9777-2AE31B1D3C81
Esteban Ribovics

Unranked · Lightweight

Esteban Ribovics

"El Gringo"

16-3-0 · Striker

King Green

Unranked · Lightweight

King Green

"King"

36-17-1 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Ribovics

52%

Edge4%

Green

48%

Skill Comparison

83
80
Striking
59
60
Wrestling
63
63
Cardio
66
72
Takedown Defense
67
71
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

RibovicsMetricGreen
5' 10"Height5' 10"
69"Reach71"
30Age39
—Stance—
81%Finish Rate64%

Career Records

RibovicsMetricGreen
8Wins by KO/TKO13
5Wins by Submission10
7First-Round Finishes13
7.43Sig. Strikes / Min6.49
5.74Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.63
43%Striking Accuracy53%
54%Striking Defense62%
0.48Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.35
0.35Takedowns / 15 min1.33
0%Takedown Accuracy43%
66%Takedown Defense72%
0.17Submissions / 15 min0.30
10:48Avg. Fight Time—

Strike Distribution

Ribovics

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

74%

Body

16%

Leg

10%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Ribovics

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 92%Standing92%
Clinch — 4%Clinch4%
Ground — 4%Ground4%

Primary Position Standing

Green

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

58%

Body

25%

Leg

16%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Green

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 80%Standing80%
Clinch — 10%Clinch10%
Ground — 10%Ground10%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Ribovics

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (7.43 vs 6.49)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • King Green changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Green

Strengths

  • SApM edge (3.63 vs 5.74)
  • TDD edge (72 vs 66)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Esteban Ribovics changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Ribovics
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (7.43 vs 6.49)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • King Green can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Ribovics' pressure and pace earn a narrow lean, while Green's timing, defense and experience can punish predictable entries.

Forecast

Expect King Green and Esteban Ribovics to test the matchup's primary phase early. Esteban Ribovics is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Ribovics benefits from sustained exchanges and body work that prevent Green from controlling tempo. Green's route is to make the fight intermittent, draw overextensions and score with cleaner counters before Ribovics builds cumulative pressure. The estimate is an analyst-model forecast built from current UFC data and sample quality, not a market probability.

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