← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs EvloevAbdul Rakhman YakhyaevNikita Krylov

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Nikita KrylovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Nikita Krylov — Light Heavyweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev in Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · Light HeavyweightID · E71719C3-FA3B-40FA-B4AD-DE2AA49150A6

Unranked · Light Heavyweight

Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev

"The Hunter"

10-0-0 · MMA

Rank #15 · Light Heavyweight

Nikita Krylov

"The Miner"

31-12-0 · Sambo

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Yakhyaev

52%

Edge4%

Krylov

48%

Skill Comparison

88
86
Striking
92
91
Wrestling
78
84
Cardio
95
75
Takedown Defense
82
82
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

YakhyaevMetricKrylov
6' 2"Height6' 3"
78"Reach77.5"
25Age34
—Stance—
90%Finish Rate94%

Career Records

YakhyaevMetricKrylov
4Wins by KO/TKO13
5Wins by Submission16
8First-Round Finishes23
8.64Sig. Strikes / Min4.38
2.22Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min2.75
69%Striking Accuracy54%
59%Striking Defense48%
11.11Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.57
11.11Takedowns / 15 min2.19
75%Takedown Accuracy2%
100%Takedown Defense53%
7.41Submissions / 15 min1.14
01:01Avg. Fight Time07:09

Strike Distribution

Yakhyaev

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

89%

Body

9%

Leg

3%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Yakhyaev

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 37%Standing37%
Clinch — 3%Clinch3%
Ground — 60%Ground60%

Primary Position Ground

Krylov

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

59%

Body

25%

Leg

16%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Krylov

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 59%Standing59%
Clinch — 23%Clinch23%
Ground — 18%Ground18%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Yakhyaev

Strengths

  • Yakhyaev is unbeaten at 10-0
  • Yakhyaev's 35-strike UFC sample is extremely small
  • Yakhyaev's early UFC data shows heavy ground offense and strong defensive wrestling

Weaknesses

  • Krylov owns twenty-nine finishes across knockouts and submissions
  • He has extensive UFC experience against ranked opposition

Opportunities

  • Force Nikita Krylov away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Krylov owns twenty-nine finishes across knockouts and submissions
  • His 4.38 SLpM and 1.14 submission average provide multiple scoring routes
Krylov

Strengths

  • Krylov owns twenty-nine finishes across knockouts and submissions
  • He has extensive UFC experience against ranked opposition
  • His 4.38 SLpM and 1.14 submission average provide multiple scoring routes

Weaknesses

  • Yakhyaev is unbeaten at 10-0
  • Yakhyaev's 35-strike UFC sample is extremely small

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev changing the fight phase
  • Yakhyaev's early UFC data shows heavy ground offense and strong defensive wrestling

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Yakhyaev
Key Advantages
  • Yakhyaev is unbeaten at 10-0
  • Yakhyaev's 35-strike UFC sample is extremely small
  • Yakhyaev's early UFC data shows heavy ground offense and strong defensive wrestling
Potential Concerns
  • Krylov owns twenty-nine finishes across knockouts and submissions
  • He has extensive UFC experience against ranked opposition
  • His 4.38 SLpM and 1.14 submission average provide multiple scoring routes
AI Analysis

Yakhyaev's unbeaten finishing profile and explosive UFC sample earn a cautious lean over Krylov's much deeper, more proven all-phase game.

Forecast

Yakhyaev is projected to create the more explosive control and finishing sequences, while Krylov's experience makes this one of the card's highest-variance matchups.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Krylov should make the younger fighter solve layered striking, clinch and submission transitions rather than accept a pure scramble. Yakhyaev's athletic entries and top pressure can overwhelm opponents early, but his eye-catching rates are not stable over only 35 landed significant strikes. Youth and upside support only a narrow lean.

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