Bolaji Oki vs Daniel SantosUFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev

Bolaji Oki vs Daniel Santos — Featherweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev in Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · FeatherweightID · 05278911-3537-430A-B1DF-6364E1EF6766

Unranked · Featherweight

Bolaji Oki

"Zulu Warrior"

10-4-0 · Striker

Unranked · Featherweight

Daniel Santos

"Willycat"

14-3-0 · Muay Thai

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Oki

49%

Edge2%

Santos

51%

Skill Comparison

87
86
Striking
77
82
Wrestling
83
82
Cardio
84
83
Takedown Defense
79
82
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

OkiMetricSantos
5' 10"Height5' 7"
73"Reach67"
30Age31
—Stance—
60%Finish Rate64%

Career Records

OkiMetricSantos
5Wins by KO/TKO7
1Wins by Submission2
4First-Round Finishes3
6.42Sig. Strikes / Min5.15
5.12Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.38
45%Striking Accuracy40%
61%Striking Defense50%
0.51Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.43
1.02Takedowns / 15 min2.60
14%Takedown Accuracy—
75%Takedown Defense73%
0Submissions / 15 min0
09:48Avg. Fight Time11:33

Strike Distribution

Oki

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

68%

Body

23%

Leg

9%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Oki

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 90%Standing90%
Clinch — 7%Clinch7%
Ground — 4%Ground4%

Primary Position Standing

Santos

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

67%

Body

22%

Leg

11%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Santos

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 76%Standing76%
Clinch — 9%Clinch9%
Ground — 15%Ground15%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Oki

Strengths

  • Oki lands 6.42 significant strikes per minute
  • A six-inch reach advantage
  • Oki's 61% striking defense is the better defensive mark

Weaknesses

  • Santos averages 2.60 takedowns per 15 minutes
  • Santos owns nine professional finishes

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Daniel Santos changing the fight phase
  • Oki absorbs 5.12 significant strikes per minute
Santos

Strengths

  • Santos averages 2.60 takedowns per 15 minutes
  • Santos owns nine professional finishes
  • Oki absorbs 5.12 significant strikes per minute

Weaknesses

  • Oki lands 6.42 significant strikes per minute
  • A six-inch reach advantage

Opportunities

  • Force Bolaji Oki away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Oki lands 6.42 significant strikes per minute
  • Oki's 61% striking defense is the better defensive mark

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Santos
Key Advantages
  • Oki lands 6.42 significant strikes per minute
  • A six-inch reach advantage
  • Oki's 61% striking defense is the better defensive mark
Potential Concerns
  • Santos averages 2.60 takedowns per 15 minutes
  • Santos owns nine professional finishes
  • Oki absorbs 5.12 significant strikes per minute
AI Analysis

Santos' phase variety and durability narrowly counter Oki's reach, volume and stronger defensive striking rate.

Forecast

Santos is projected to mix takedowns and pressure effectively enough to edge the fight; Oki can control it if his reach keeps exchanges at distance.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Oki should use reach and straight volume while avoiding prolonged pocket exchanges and reactive takedowns. Santos can close distance with pressure, mix levels and make the fight less predictable. The grappling layer gives Santos a marginal edge despite Oki's cleaner range tools.

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