← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs EvloevLone’er KavanaghRamazan Temirov

Lone’er Kavanagh vs Ramazan TemirovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev

Lone’er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov — Flyweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs Evloev in Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · FlyweightID · A5D721D1-326E-4E36-9143-C0D71415794D
Lone’er Kavanagh

Rank #6 · Flyweight

Lone’er Kavanagh

10-2-0 · Kickboxing

Ramazan Temirov

Rank #10 · Flyweight

Ramazan Temirov

"Temurlan"

20-3-0 · Striker

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Kavanagh

47%

Edge6%

Temirov

53%

Skill Comparison

83
88
Striking
75
67
Wrestling
82
80
Cardio
86
91
Takedown Defense
81
80
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

KavanaghMetricTemirov
5' 6"Height5' 4"
67"Reach63"
27Age29
—Stance—
50%Finish Rate65%

Career Records

KavanaghMetricTemirov
4Wins by KO/TKO12
1Wins by Submission1
2First-Round Finishes11
4.13Sig. Strikes / Min4.73
3.94Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.65
50%Striking Accuracy41%
54%Striking Defense62%
0.37Knockdown Avg / 15 min3.38
1.12Takedowns / 15 min0.68
—Takedown Accuracy50%
83%Takedown Defense100%
0.37Submissions / 15 min0
13:27Avg. Fight Time07:24

Strike Distribution

Kavanagh

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

56%

Body

25%

Leg

19%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Kavanagh

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 81%Standing81%
Clinch — 8%Clinch8%
Ground — 11%Ground11%

Primary Position Standing

Temirov

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

81%

Body

17%

Leg

2%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Temirov

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 87%Standing87%
Clinch — 9%Clinch9%
Ground — 5%Ground5%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Kavanagh

Strengths

  • Kavanagh owns four inches of reach
  • His 83% takedown defense limits phase changes
  • He mixes head, body and leg targets more evenly

Weaknesses

  • Temirov has twelve knockout wins
  • Temirov lands with a much higher knockdown rate

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Ramazan Temirov changing the fight phase
  • Kavanagh has dropped two professional bouts
Temirov

Strengths

  • Temirov has twelve knockout wins
  • Temirov lands with a much higher knockdown rate
  • Kavanagh has dropped two professional bouts

Weaknesses

  • Kavanagh owns four inches of reach
  • His 83% takedown defense limits phase changes

Opportunities

  • Force Lone’er Kavanagh away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Kavanagh owns four inches of reach
  • He mixes head, body and leg targets more evenly

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Temirov
Key Advantages
  • Kavanagh owns four inches of reach
  • His 83% takedown defense limits phase changes
  • He mixes head, body and leg targets more evenly
Potential Concerns
  • Temirov has twelve knockout wins
  • Temirov lands with a much higher knockdown rate
  • Kavanagh has dropped two professional bouts
AI Analysis

Temirov's knockout pressure and higher-impact offense narrowly offset Kavanagh's length, balance and stronger established defensive sample.

Forecast

Temirov is projected to create the more damaging exchanges, while Kavanagh can flip the result through disciplined range management and defensive layers.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Kavanagh should work long combinations and force Temirov to reset before the shorter puncher can crowd the pocket. Temirov's burst entries and head-focused power can change the fight quickly, while his current 100% UFC takedown-defense mark keeps the matchup on his preferred track. Kavanagh's size keeps the projection close.

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