← UFC 334: Gane vs HokitAmanda NunesKayla Harrison

Amanda Nunes vs Kayla HarrisonUFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison — Women's Bantamweight title fight — is scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit in Madison Square Garden, New York. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Co-Main Event · Women's Bantamweight · Title BoutID · F197BE96-BC38-49F8-8E53-000A5A95126A
Amanda Nunes

Unranked · Women's Bantamweight

Amanda Nunes

23-5-0 · Striker

Kayla Harrison

Unranked · Women's Bantamweight

Kayla Harrison

19-1-0 · Judo

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Nunes

45%

Edge10%

Harrison

55%

Skill Comparison

93
95
Striking
90
96
Wrestling
80
80
Cardio
82
100
Takedown Defense
85
86
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

NunesMetricHarrison
5' 8"Height5' 8"
69"Reach66"
38Age36
—Stance—
74%Finish Rate74%

Career Records

NunesMetricHarrison
13Wins by KO/TKO6
4Wins by Submission8
14First-Round Finishes9
4.55Sig. Strikes / Min4.29
2.62Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min1.10
52%Striking Accuracy62%
58%Striking Defense66%
0.63Knockdown Avg / 15 min0
2.73Takedowns / 15 min2.84
15%Takedown Accuracy12%
82%Takedown Defense100%
0.70Submissions / 15 min0.95
10:44Avg. Fight Time10:34

Strike Distribution

Nunes

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

68%

Body

13%

Leg

19%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Nunes

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 68%Standing68%
Clinch — 5%Clinch5%
Ground — 27%Ground27%

Primary Position Standing

Harrison

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

71%

Body

20%

Leg

9%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Harrison

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 29%Standing29%
Clinch — 18%Clinch18%
Ground — 53%Ground53%

Primary Position Ground

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Nunes

Strengths

  • Amanda Nunes owns a 3-inch reach advantage
  • A momentum swing could expose the less-tested defensive layer
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison

Weaknesses

  • Kayla Harrison leads in significant-strike defense (66% vs 58%)
  • Kayla Harrison leads in takedown defense (100% vs 82%)

Opportunities

  • Force Kayla Harrison away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Kayla Harrison leads in significant-strike defense (66% vs 58%)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Kayla Harrison's preferred range
Harrison

Strengths

  • Kayla Harrison leads in significant-strike defense (66% vs 58%)
  • Kayla Harrison leads in takedown defense (100% vs 82%)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Kayla Harrison's preferred range

Weaknesses

  • Amanda Nunes owns a 3-inch reach advantage
  • A momentum swing could expose the less-tested defensive layer

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Amanda Nunes changing the fight phase
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Harrison
Key Advantages
  • Amanda Nunes owns a 3-inch reach advantage
  • A momentum swing could expose the less-tested defensive layer
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison
Potential Concerns
  • Kayla Harrison leads in significant-strike defense (66% vs 58%)
  • Kayla Harrison leads in takedown defense (100% vs 82%)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Kayla Harrison's preferred range
AI Analysis

Kayla Harrison's blend of measurable phase advantages and repeatable scoring routes produces a 55-45 analyst-model lean.

Forecast

Kayla Harrison is projected to win the higher share of repeatable scoring exchanges, but the matchup remains competitive and sensitive to early phase control.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Kayla Harrison projects best when the fight stays in the phases reflected by the stronger pace and defensive metrics, while Amanda Nunes can change the matchup through pressure, transitions and sustained control. The projection stays conservative because career aggregates do not capture every tactical adjustment, and limited UFC samples are down-weighted.

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