← UFC 334: Gane vs HokitBilal HasanLuis Gurule

Bilal Hasan vs Luis GuruleUFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule — Flyweight — is scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit in Madison Square Garden, New York. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · FlyweightID · 3A0CF9D6-178B-4474-A414-9FC41E7943F6

Unranked · Flyweight

Bilal Hasan

10-0-0 · MMA

Luis Gurule

Unranked · Flyweight

Luis Gurule

11-4-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Hasan

51%

Edge2%

Gurule

49%

Skill Comparison

96
96
Striking
74
69
Wrestling
70
81
Cardio
75
60
Takedown Defense
83
85
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

HasanMetricGurule
5' 7"Height5' 5"
70"Reach64"
25Age32
—Stance—
90%Finish Rate55%

Career Records

HasanMetricGurule
8Wins by KO/TKO5
1Wins by Submission1
4First-Round Finishes3
9.01Sig. Strikes / Min5.44
4.38Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.35
48%Striking Accuracy44%
51%Striking Defense57%
3.65Knockdown Avg / 15 min0
1.83Takedowns / 15 min0.64
—Takedown Accuracy5%
—Takedown Defense60%
0Submissions / 15 min0.21
04:07Avg. Fight Time11:42

Strike Distribution

Hasan

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

61%

Body

30%

Leg

9%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Hasan

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 58%Standing58%
Clinch — 11%Clinch11%
Ground — 31%Ground31%

Primary Position Standing

Gurule

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

75%

Body

12%

Leg

14%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Gurule

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 90%Standing90%
Clinch — 9%Clinch9%
Ground — 1%Ground1%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Hasan

Strengths

  • Bilal Hasan leads in significant-strike pace (9.01 vs 5.44)
  • Bilal Hasan leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (1.83 vs 0.64)
  • Bilal Hasan owns a 6-inch reach advantage

Weaknesses

  • Luis Gurule leads in significant-strike defense (57% vs 51%)
  • A momentum swing could expose the less-tested defensive layer

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Luis Gurule changing the fight phase
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison
Gurule

Strengths

  • Luis Gurule leads in significant-strike defense (57% vs 51%)
  • A momentum swing could expose the less-tested defensive layer
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison

Weaknesses

  • Bilal Hasan leads in significant-strike pace (9.01 vs 5.44)
  • Bilal Hasan leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (1.83 vs 0.64)

Opportunities

  • Force Bilal Hasan away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Bilal Hasan leads in significant-strike pace (9.01 vs 5.44)
  • Bilal Hasan owns a 6-inch reach advantage

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Hasan
Key Advantages
  • Bilal Hasan leads in significant-strike pace (9.01 vs 5.44)
  • Bilal Hasan leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (1.83 vs 0.64)
  • Bilal Hasan owns a 6-inch reach advantage
Potential Concerns
  • Luis Gurule leads in significant-strike defense (57% vs 51%)
  • A momentum swing could expose the less-tested defensive layer
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison
AI Analysis

Bilal Hasan's blend of measurable phase advantages and repeatable scoring routes produces a 51-49 analyst-model lean.

Forecast

Bilal Hasan is projected to win the higher share of repeatable scoring exchanges, but the matchup remains competitive and sensitive to early phase control.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Bilal Hasan projects best when the fight stays in the phases reflected by the stronger pace and defensive metrics, while Luis Gurule can change the matchup through pressure, transitions and sustained control. The projection stays conservative because career aggregates do not capture every tactical adjustment, and limited UFC samples are down-weighted.

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