← UFC 334: Gane vs HokitCiryl GaneJosh Hokit

Ciryl Gane vs Josh HokitUFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit — Heavyweight title fight — is scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit in Madison Square Garden, New York. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Event · Heavyweight · Title BoutID · 1DEFA800-9651-4A69-8EA5-CF35190BA674
Ciryl Gane

Unranked · Heavyweight

Ciryl Gane

14-2-0 · Muay Thai

Josh Hokit

Rank #4 · Heavyweight

Josh Hokit

10-0-0 · Wrestling

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Gane

56%

Edge12%

Hokit

44%

Skill Comparison

96
96
Striking
67
94
Wrestling
84
74
Cardio
47
78
Takedown Defense
85
82
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

GaneMetricHokit
6' 4"Height6' 1"
81"Reach73.5"
36Age29
—Stance—
71%Finish Rate90%

Career Records

GaneMetricHokit
7Wins by KO/TKO6
3Wins by Submission3
3First-Round Finishes6
5.40Sig. Strikes / Min9.29
2.31Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.28
62%Striking Accuracy65%
61%Striking Defense49%
0.33Knockdown Avg / 15 min1.24
0.66Takedowns / 15 min3.73
—Takedown Accuracy5%
47%Takedown Defense78%
0.58Submissions / 15 min0.41
13:00Avg. Fight Time07:14

Strike Distribution

Gane

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

45%

Body

27%

Leg

29%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Gane

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 89%Standing89%
Clinch — 7%Clinch7%
Ground — 4%Ground4%

Primary Position Standing

Hokit

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

91%

Body

8%

Leg

1%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Hokit

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 63%Standing63%
Clinch — 15%Clinch15%
Ground — 22%Ground22%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Gane

Strengths

  • Gane brings the deeper five-round UFC sample and championship-round experience
  • His long-range footwork and kicking game can force Hokit to reset repeatedly
  • A 5.40 significant-strike pace is established across stronger UFC opposition

Weaknesses

  • Josh Hokit leads in significant-strike pace (9.29 vs 5.4)
  • Josh Hokit leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (3.73 vs 0.66)

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Hokit's 9.29 significant-strike pace comes with explosive forward pressure
  • The undefeated challenger can connect clinch pressure to wrestling transitions
  • Gane must avoid losing extended fence and control minutes
Hokit

Strengths

  • Hokit's 9.29 significant-strike pace comes with explosive forward pressure
  • The undefeated challenger can connect clinch pressure to wrestling transitions
  • Gane must avoid losing extended fence and control minutes

Weaknesses

  • Ciryl Gane leads in significant-strike defense (61% vs 49%)
  • Ciryl Gane owns a 7.5-inch reach advantage

Opportunities

  • Force Ciryl Gane away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Gane brings the deeper five-round UFC sample and championship-round experience
  • His long-range footwork and kicking game can force Hokit to reset repeatedly
  • A 5.40 significant-strike pace is established across stronger UFC opposition

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Gane
Key Advantages
  • Gane brings the deeper five-round UFC sample and championship-round experience
  • His long-range footwork and kicking game can force Hokit to reset repeatedly
  • A 5.40 significant-strike pace is established across stronger UFC opposition
Potential Concerns
  • Hokit's 9.29 significant-strike pace comes with explosive forward pressure
  • The undefeated challenger can connect clinch pressure to wrestling transitions
  • Gane must avoid losing extended fence and control minutes
AI Analysis

Gane's five-round championship experience, movement and proven heavyweight striking justify a narrow edge; Hokit's pressure and wrestling keep the upset risk substantial.

Forecast

Gane is projected to create the cleaner long-range scoring and pull away as the fight extends, with a decision or late stoppage more likely than an early finish.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Gane's cleanest route is to keep the center, layer kicks behind feints and make Hokit cross open space before every exchange. Hokit can flip the matchup by compressing distance, forcing clinches and making the champion defend repeated wrestling transitions. Gane's proven five-round process earns the lean, but Hokit's athletic pressure makes this materially closer than the raw experience gap suggests.

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