← UFC 334: Gane vs HokitKevin HollandUroš Medić

Kevin Holland vs Uroš MedićUFC 334: Gane vs Hokit

Kevin Holland vs Uroš Medić — Welterweight — is scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit in Madison Square Garden, New York. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · WelterweightID · 9E78E60F-87C3-4AFB-AE06-2CF1D64715BF
Kevin Holland

Rank #15 · Welterweight

Kevin Holland

29-15-0 · Kung Fu

Uroš Medić

Rank #11 · Welterweight

Uroš Medić

14-3-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Holland

53%

Edge6%

Medić

47%

Skill Comparison

89
96
Striking
71
66
Wrestling
79
69
Cardio
58
56
Takedown Defense
84
83
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

HollandMetricMedić
6' 3"Height6' 1"
81"Reach71"
34Age33
—Stance—
79%Finish Rate100%

Career Records

HollandMetricMedić
14Wins by KO/TKO12
9Wins by Submission2
13First-Round Finishes11
4.24Sig. Strikes / Min5.77
3.21Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.40
50%Striking Accuracy61%
50%Striking Defense57%
0.32Knockdown Avg / 15 min3.72
0.79Takedowns / 15 min0.34
58%Takedown Defense56%
0.60Submissions / 15 min0
10:47Avg. Fight Time03:42

Strike Distribution

Holland

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

54%

Body

19%

Leg

27%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Holland

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 76%Standing76%
Clinch — 13%Clinch13%
Ground — 11%Ground11%

Primary Position Standing

Medić

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

66%

Body

23%

Leg

11%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Medić

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 61%Standing61%
Clinch — 11%Clinch11%
Ground — 28%Ground28%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Holland

Strengths

  • Kevin Holland leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (0.79 vs 0.34)
  • Kevin Holland leads in submission activity per 15 minutes (0.6 vs 0)
  • Kevin Holland owns a 10-inch reach advantage

Weaknesses

  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike pace (5.77 vs 4.24)
  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike defense (57% vs 50%)

Opportunities

  • Force Uroš Medić away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike pace (5.77 vs 4.24)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Uroš Medić's preferred range
Medić

Strengths

  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike pace (5.77 vs 4.24)
  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike defense (57% vs 50%)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Uroš Medić's preferred range

Weaknesses

  • Kevin Holland leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (0.79 vs 0.34)
  • Kevin Holland leads in submission activity per 15 minutes (0.6 vs 0)

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Kevin Holland changing the fight phase
  • Kevin Holland owns a 10-inch reach advantage

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Holland
Key Advantages
  • Kevin Holland leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (0.79 vs 0.34)
  • Kevin Holland leads in submission activity per 15 minutes (0.6 vs 0)
  • Kevin Holland owns a 10-inch reach advantage
Potential Concerns
  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike pace (5.77 vs 4.24)
  • Uroš Medić leads in significant-strike defense (57% vs 50%)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Uroš Medić's preferred range
AI Analysis

Kevin Holland's blend of measurable phase advantages and repeatable scoring routes produces a 53-47 analyst-model lean.

Forecast

Kevin Holland is projected to win the higher share of repeatable scoring exchanges, but the matchup remains competitive and sensitive to early phase control.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Uroš Medić projects best when the fight stays in the phases reflected by the stronger pace and defensive metrics, while Kevin Holland can change the matchup through pressure, transitions and sustained control. The projection stays conservative because career aggregates do not capture every tactical adjustment, and limited UFC samples are down-weighted.

Picks Terminal Weekly

A concise NFL and UFC/MMA briefing — Monday previews, Friday updates.

Key matchups, model signals, and the stories worth knowing across both sports. Free, no fluff, one-click unsubscribe.