← UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs SalkilldDiego FerreiraBilly Quarantillo

Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo — Lightweight — is scheduled for Saturday, August 8, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld in Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · LightweightID · BF4CAA47-251E-4ED6-AF2E-093933B33317

Unranked · Lightweight

Diego Ferreira

19-7-0 · Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

Unranked · Featherweight

Billy Quarantillo

"Billy Q"

18-7-0 · Mixed Martial Arts

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Ferreira

55%

Edge10%

Quarantillo

45%

Skill Comparison

80
83
Striking
85
75
Wrestling
78
88
Cardio
72
74
Takedown Defense
76
72
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

FerreiraMetricQuarantillo
5' 9"Height5' 10"
74"Reach70"
41Age37
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
58%Finish Rate72%

Career Records

FerreiraMetricQuarantillo
4Wins by KO/TKO8
7Wins by Submission5
4First-Round Finishes7
4.59Sig. Strikes / Min7.15
3.74Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.95
48%Striking Accuracy58%
57%Striking Defense42%
0.77Takedowns / 15 min1.28
23%Takedown Accuracy23%
68%Takedown Defense59%
0.70Submissions / 15 min1.10

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Ferreira

Strengths

  • Technical grappling
  • Reach
  • Cleaner defense

Weaknesses

  • Age
  • Can be outworked

Opportunities

  • Attack defensive gaps
  • Take the back in scrambles

Threats

  • Billy Q's volume
  • Late attrition
Quarantillo

Strengths

  • Volume
  • Cardio
  • Finishing activity

Weaknesses

  • High damage absorption
  • Takedown defense

Opportunities

  • Force a pace fight
  • Pressure the older fighter

Threats

  • Submission transitions
  • Clean counters

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Ferreira
Key Advantages
  • Ferreira: four-inch reach advantage and superior submission grappling.
  • Ferreira: positive strike differential with stronger defense.
  • Quarantillo: elite 7.15 SLpM volume and proven late-fight pace.
Potential Concerns
  • Ferreira is 41 and must manage Quarantillo's pace.
  • Quarantillo absorbs 5.95 significant strikes per minute.
  • Quarantillo's takedown defense can expose him to Ferreira's strongest phase.
AI Analysis

Ferreira's technical grappling meets Quarantillo's extreme volume and attrition.

Forecast

Ferreira is a narrow favorite because he can punish defensive openings and threaten submissions when Quarantillo overextends. Quarantillo can win through pace and accumulated damage, but Ferreira's reach and technical depth should produce the cleaner scoring moments.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Quarantillo throws at an exceptional rate, but his 5.95 significant strikes absorbed per minute and 42% defense create openings for Ferreira's cleaner counters and grappling transitions. Ferreira is older but technically superior on the mat and owns a four-inch reach advantage. Quarantillo needs pace and accumulation; Ferreira needs controlled exchanges and positional superiority.

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