← UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs SalkilldTy MillerBilly Ray Goff

Ty Miller vs Billy Ray Goff — Welterweight — is scheduled for Saturday, August 8, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld in Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · WelterweightID · 4033C23F-81E8-403B-A10E-E2BD9F6DBCE2

Unranked · Welterweight

Ty Miller

7-0-0 · Mixed Martial Arts

Unranked · Welterweight

Billy Ray Goff

9-4-0 · Striker

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Miller

59%

Edge18%

Goff

41%

Skill Comparison

84
82
Striking
73
72
Wrestling
83
80
Cardio
76
72
Takedown Defense
85
78
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

MillerMetricGoff
6' 2"Height5' 10"
78"Reach72"
25Age28
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
57%Finish Rate89%

Career Records

MillerMetricGoff
4Wins by KO/TKO8
0Wins by Submission0
2First-Round Finishes6
5.30Sig. Strikes / Min5.18
2.50Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.17
52%Striking Accuracy54%
60%Striking Defense44%
1.50Takedowns / 15 min1.20
50%Takedown Accuracy50%
75%Takedown Defense58%
0Submissions / 15 min0

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Miller

Strengths

  • Reach
  • Unbeaten confidence
  • Balanced offense

Weaknesses

  • Limited UFC sample
  • Can be pressured

Opportunities

  • Counter Goff's entries
  • Use long combinations

Threats

  • Goff's power
  • High-pressure exchanges
Goff

Strengths

  • Knockout power
  • Pressure
  • Durability

Weaknesses

  • Defensive openings
  • Reach deficit

Opportunities

  • Crowd Miller's range
  • Force pocket exchanges

Threats

  • Straight counters
  • Miller's size

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Miller
Key Advantages
  • Miller: six-inch reach advantage and unbeaten 7-0 record.
  • Miller: stronger striking defense and lower damage absorption.
  • Goff: eight knockout wins and proven willingness to force a brawl.
Potential Concerns
  • Miller has the smaller UFC sample against experienced opposition.
  • Goff's 44% striking defense creates significant counter risk.
  • A high-pressure fight may compress Miller's preferred long range.
AI Analysis

Miller's size and balance meet Goff's relentless knockout pressure.

Forecast

Miller is favored to use length and defensive discipline to win the cleaner exchanges. Goff remains live because his pressure and finishing power can overwhelm developing fighters, but Miller's reach and balance make a decision or late stoppage more likely.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Miller brings a six-inch reach advantage, an unbeaten record and cleaner defensive numbers. Goff produces comparable volume but absorbs nearly as much as he lands, creating an opening for Miller's straight attacks and counters. Goff's best route is sustained pressure and forcing exchanges before Miller settles into range.

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