Cody Garbrandt vs Adrian Yanez — Bantamweight — estaba programada para el sábado, 11 de julio de 2026 en UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 en T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. Resultado oficial aún no registrado. Picks Terminal cubre el enfrentamiento con una estimación de probabilidad de victoria, un desglose del enfrentamiento e inteligencia extraída de fuentes públicas.

slot.Prelim · BantamweightID · 30772BB0-3BAC-4E16-BB92-B1DAE45DAF3B

Rango Bantamweight · Bantamweight

Cody Garbrandt

"No Love"

15-7-0 · Boxing / Wrestling

Rango Bantamweight · Bantamweight

Adrian Yanez

17-6-1 · Boxing / BJJ

Modelo de probabilidad de victoria · v4.2

Garbrandt

38%

Ventaja24%

Yanez

62%

Comparación de habilidades

65
88
Golpeo
62
55
Lucha
68
75
Cardio
81
78
Defensa de derribos
55
74
Resistencia de mentón

Atributos físicos

GarbrandtMétricaYanez
5'7"Estatura5'7"
65.5"Alcance70"
34Edad32
OrtodoxaPosturaOrtodoxa
73%Tasa de finalización76%

Récord de carrera

GarbrandtMétricaYanez
10Victorias por KO/TKO6
0Victorias por sumisión0
2.79Golpes significativos / min5.96
3.66Golpes significativos recibidos / min5.24
40%Precisión de golpeo41%
58%Defensa de golpeo56%
0.85Derribos / 15 min0
22%Precisión de derribo0%
81%Defensa de derribo75%
0Sumisiones / 15 min0

Inteligencia de la pelea

Consenso público

Datos de consenso no disponibles

Últimas noticias

Sin noticias recientes

Análisis detallado

Traduciendo…
Ventajas clave
  • Yanez holds a significant 4.5-inch reach advantage
  • Yanez lands at a much higher volume (5.96 SLpM vs. Garbrandt's 2.79)
  • Garbrandt's 81% takedown defense is historically high for the division
  • Garbrandt possesses superior NCAA wrestling credentials for a potential grappling pivot
Posibles riesgos
  • Garbrandt's 4 career KO losses suggest a highly compromised chin against power punchers
  • Yanez absorbs 5.24 strikes per minute, indicating defensive liabilities in pocket exchanges
  • Garbrandt's low strike accuracy (40%) may lead to him falling behind on scorecards
Análisis del modelo

A battle of elite boxing distance management vs. fading veteran explosiveness.

Pronóstico

Expect a high-tension chess match in the first three minutes as Garbrandt looks to use lateral movement to evade Yanez's jab. Yanez will likely establish his range early using his 70-inch reach to pump the lead hand, forcing Cody into the pocket where the risk of a counter-shot is highest. Given Cody’s history of getting caught in trades, Yanez's pressure and volume should eventually find the chin. A clinical boxing combination from Yanez likely ends this in the second round. I am confident in a Yanez victory by TKO, as Garbrandt's defensive 58% mark won't be enough to survive the 15-minute onslaught.

Las valoraciones de habilidades, la probabilidad de victoria, las ventajas, los riesgos y el pronóstico son estimaciones generadas por el modelo a partir de perfiles públicos de peleadores — no son estadísticas oficiales de UFC ni garantías de resultado.

Desglose del enfrentamiento

This matchup features a classic statistical disparity in output. Yanez is a volume-heavy boxer who lands 5.96 significant strikes per minute, nearly double Garbrandt's rate of 2.79. While Cody remains a dangerous counter-striker with 11 career KOs, his 40% accuracy combined with a declining chin (4 KO losses) is a dangerous recipe against a sniper like Yanez. Garbrandt's best path is through his 0.85 takedown average, utilizing his wrestling pedigree to exploit Yanez's 75% TD defense, though Cody rarely commits to his grappling in high-stakes bantamweight bouts.

Picks Terminal Semanal

Un informe táctico de UFC — previa los lunes, actualizaciones los viernes.

Cada lunes: la cartelera completa, las peleas clave y la probabilidad estimada por el modelo. Cada viernes: novedades a medida que se acerca la noche de pelea. Gratis, sin relleno, cancelas con un clic.