← UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2King GreenTerrance McKinney

King Green vs Terrance McKinney — Lightweight — estaba programada para el sábado, 11 de julio de 2026 en UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 en T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. Resultado oficial aún no registrado. Picks Terminal cubre el enfrentamiento con una estimación de probabilidad de victoria, un desglose del enfrentamiento e inteligencia extraída de fuentes públicas.

Cartelera principal · LightweightID · CE507785-06C1-4A9E-8C24-5B2684DC485A

Rango Veteran · Lightweight

King Green

"King"

35-17-1 (1 NC) · Boxing

Rango Prospect · Lightweight

Terrance McKinney

"T. Wrecks"

18-8-0 · Wrestling / Striker

Modelo de probabilidad de victoria · v4.2

Green

58%

Ventaja16%

McKinney

42%

Comparación de habilidades

90
89
Golpeo
65
85
Lucha
88
60
Cardio
79
78
Defensa de derribos
72
65
Resistencia de mentón

Atributos físicos

GreenMétricaMcKinney
5'10"Estatura5'10"
71"Alcance73"
39Edad31
OrtodoxaPosturaZurda
54%Tasa de finalización89%

Récord de carrera

GreenMétricaMcKinney
9Victorias por KO/TKO10
10Victorias por sumisión6
6.46Golpes significativos / min6.53
3.55Golpes significativos recibidos / min3.45
53%Precisión de golpeo55%
62%Defensa de golpeo43%
1.33Derribos / 15 min3.31
43%Precisión de derribo40%
72%Defensa de derribo72%
0.30Sumisiones / 15 min2.10

Inteligencia de la pelea

Consenso público

— Datos de consenso no disponibles —

Últimas noticias

— Sin noticias recientes —

Análisis detallado

Traduciendo…
Ventajas clave
  • Green's 62% striking defense allows him to weather the initial storm of high-output power punchers.
  • McKinney's massive 3.31 TD Avg meets Green's reliable 72% TD defense, potentially forcing a gas-draining grind.
  • Green maintains a pace of 6.46 SLpM over three rounds, whereas McKinney often fades if he doesn't find a first-round finish.
Posibles riesgos
  • Green’s 7 KO losses suggest vulnerability to the explosive power McKinney showed in his 24-second finish of Kyle Nelson.
  • McKinney’s 2.1 submission average is a significant threat during scrambles in the first 5 minutes.
Análisis del modelo

A classic 'kill or be killed' sprinter in McKinney tests the elite durability and veteran craft of King Green.

Pronóstico

Expect a chaotic opening frame where McKinney attempts to utilize his reach and southpaw power to find a quick exit. McKinney will likely attempt to mix in wrestling (3.31 TD Avg) early, but Green’s experience—honed over 50+ fights—should allow him to stifle the most dangerous exchanges. As the fight enters the second round, Green’s 6.46 SLpM pace and superior cardio will begin to take over as McKinney’s output traditionally dips. We look for Green to pick apart a tiring McKinney with sharp counters, likely leading to a late TKO or a clear unanimous decision victory. The most likely window for a McKinney win is a sub-three-minute knockout, but the veteran's savvy favors Green the longer the fight lasts.

Las valoraciones de habilidades, la probabilidad de victoria, las ventajas, los riesgos y el pronóstico son estimaciones generadas por el modelo a partir de perfiles públicos de peleadores — no son estadísticas oficiales de UFC ni garantías de resultado.

Desglose del enfrentamiento

Statistically, this is a clash of polar opposite pacing. Terrance McKinney is the definition of a frontrunner, landing 6.53 SLpM with a nearly 90% finish rate, primarily in the first round. King Green, despite being 39 years old, remains remarkably active, landing 6.46 SLpM with superior defensive metrics (62% defense vs McKinney's 43%). The critical pivot point is the take-down game; McKinney averages over 3 takedowns per 15 minutes, but Green's historical 72% defense and veteran clinch work make him difficult to hold down. If McKinney cannot secure a finish inside the first 7 minutes, his efficiency historically drops, playing directly into Green's high-volume, late-round pressure style.

Picks Terminal Semanal

Un informe táctico de UFC — previa los lunes, actualizaciones los viernes.

Cada lunes: la cartelera completa, las peleas clave y la probabilidad estimada por el modelo. Cada viernes: novedades a medida que se acerca la noche de pelea. Gratis, sin relleno, cancelas con un clic.