← UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. GuskovIslam DulatovWellington Turman

Islam Dulatov vs Wellington Turman — Welterweight — estaba programada para el sábado, 25 de julio de 2026 en UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov en Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi. Resultado oficial aún no registrado. Picks Terminal cubre el enfrentamiento con una estimación de probabilidad de victoria, un desglose del enfrentamiento e inteligencia extraída de fuentes públicas.

Cartelera principal · WelterweightID · ED72D66F-E50F-44D5-A782-603413DAD82B

Rango N/A · Welterweight

Islam Dulatov

"The Ripper"

12-1-0 · Boxing

Rango N/A · Welterweight

Wellington Turman

"The Prodigy"

18-8-0 · Jiu-Jitsu

Modelo de probabilidad de victoria · v4.2

Dulatov

78%

Ventaja56%

Turman

22%

Comparación de habilidades

95
67
Golpeo
76
65
Lucha
84
68
Cardio
95
55
Defensa de derribos
88
65
Resistencia de mentón

Atributos físicos

DulatovMétricaTurman
6'3"Estatura6'0"
75"Alcance72"
27Edad27
OrtodoxaPosturaOrtodoxa
100%Tasa de finalización67%

Récord de carrera

DulatovMétricaTurman
2Victorias por KO/TKO3
0Victorias por sumisión5
11Finalizaciones en 1.º asalto8
8.78Golpes significativos / min3.23
4.24Golpes significativos recibidos / min4.17
54%Precisión de golpeo51%
50%Defensa de golpeo45%
4.39Promedio de knockdowns / 15 min0
2.20Derribos / 15 min1.55
100%Precisión de derribo20%
100%Defensa de derribo42%
0Sumisiones / 15 min0.80
03:25Tiempo promedio de pelea10:44

Distribución de golpes

Dulatov

Golpes significativos por objetivo

Objetivo principal Cabeza

Cabeza

82%

Cuerpo

17%

Pierna

2%
Golpes significativos por objetivo — Dulatov

Golpes significativos por posición

De pie — 77%De pie77%
Clinch — 13%Clinch13%
Suelo — 10%Suelo10%

Posición principal De pie

Turman

Golpes significativos por objetivo

Objetivo principal Cabeza

Cabeza

59%

Cuerpo

21%

Pierna

21%
Golpes significativos por objetivo — Turman

Golpes significativos por posición

De pie — 76%De pie76%
Clinch — 16%Clinch16%
Suelo — 8%Suelo8%

Posición principal De pie

Inteligencia de la pelea

Consenso público

Kalshi

Dulatov100%
Turman0%

Las masas favorecen a Dulatov

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Últimas noticias

Dulatov

Fortalezas

  • Historic striking volume (8.78 SLpM)
  • Exceptional 100% takedown defense
  • Massive 6'3" welterweight frame

Debilidades

  • Untested in deep waters/3rd rounds
  • 50% strike defense is statistically average
  • Limited high-level UFC experience

Oportunidades

  • Exploit Turman's low 45% strike defense
  • Capitalize on opponent's 3-fight skid
  • Boost stock with another Rd 1 finish

Amenazas

  • Turman's veteran submission game
  • Overextruding and gassing out early
  • Underestimating a desperate veteran
Turman

Fortalezas

  • High-level BJJ (8 wins by submission)
  • Significant UFC veteran experience
  • Decent clinch striking efficiency

Debilidades

  • Abysmal takedown accuracy (8%)
  • Fragile striking defense (45%)
  • Negative knockdown differential

Oportunidades

  • Drag prospect into deep, late rounds
  • Look for opportunistic club-and-sub
  • Test Dulatov's resolve in the clinch

Amenazas

  • Dulatov's 4.39 knockdown average
  • Being overwhelmed by 8.78 SLpM pace
  • Size disadvantage against 6'3" foe

Análisis detallado

Traduciendo…
Ventajas clave
  • Extreme offensive volume (8.78 SLpM vs Turman's 3.23)
  • Significant height and physical presence at 6'3" for the division
  • Perfect 100% takedown defense against Turman's low 8% accuracy
  • Massive momentum with 11 first-round finishes and high knockdown rate
Posibles riesgos
  • Short average fight time (3:25) leaves cardio untested in late rounds
  • Veteran savvy and BJJ threat from Turman if the fight hits the floor
  • Lower striking defense (50%) could leave him open to counters
Análisis del modelo

A elite-level striking prospect faces a struggling veteran in a classic 'changing of the guard' matchup.

Pronóstico

Dulatov will likely establish range immediately using his 6'3" frame and elite boxing pedigree. Expect Turman to attempt early, desperate clinches or takedowns to avoid the striking volume, but Dulatov's proven hips should keep the fight standing. Once Dulatov finds his rhythm, the gap in striking power and accuracy will become evident. Given Turman's 45% striking defense and Dulatov's 100% finish rate, a knockout is the most probable outcome. Look for a stoppage in the first round as Dulatov maintains his reputation as a fast starter.

Las valoraciones de habilidades, la probabilidad de victoria, las ventajas, los riesgos y el pronóstico son estimaciones generadas por el modelo a partir de perfiles públicos de peleadores — no son estadísticas oficiales de UFC ni garantías de resultado.

Desglose del enfrentamiento

This is a statistical mismatch on the feet. Islam Dulatov operates at a pace (8.78 SLpM) nearly triple that of Wellington Turman, while maintaining a higher knockdown average (4.39). Turman's primary path to victory is through grappling, but his career takedown accuracy is a meager 8% (4 of 48 attempts), which matches up poorly against Dulatov’s 100% defensive rate to date. Turman has also struggled with durability in his UFC tenure and is reportedly on a three-fight losing streak, whereas Dulatov is riding an massive wave of first-round finishes. Unless Turman can weather the initial storm and drag a tired Dulatov into a grappling match, the numbers suggest a swift striking-based victory for the German prospect.

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Un informe táctico de UFC — previa los lunes, actualizaciones los viernes.

Cada lunes: la cartelera completa, las peleas clave y la probabilidad estimada por el modelo. Cada viernes: novedades a medida que se acerca la noche de pelea. Gratis, sin relleno, cancelas con un clic.