Live tonight/ Event ID · E17C037F-C283-4496-8E6D-434C5BF7BF6D

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres

Saturday, June 27, 2026 · National Gymnastics Arena · Baku

Main Card08:00 AM EDT

Fights12

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres takes place on Saturday, June 27, 2026 at National Gymnastics Arena, Baku. Picks Terminal covers 12 bouts on the card with win probabilities, matchup breakdowns and fight intel. Main event: Rafael Fiziev vs Manuel Torres.

Main Event · LightweightID · 6686B6D2-BB82-4AB2-A6F4-F329CA2E2D51

Rank #11 · Lightweight

Rafael Fiziev

"Ataman"

13-5-0 · Muay Thai

Rank #15 · Lightweight

Manuel Torres

"El Loco"

17-3-0 · Striker / BJJ

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Fiziev

62%

Edge24%

Torres

38%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

FizievMetricTorres

5'8"Height5'10"

71"Reach73"

33Age31

SwitchStanceOrthodox

69%Finish Rate94%

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Fiziev

Key Advantages

World-class striking technique/speed
Elite takedown defense against aggressive grapple-entries
Experience against higher-tier Lightweight competition

Potential Concerns

Vulnerability to high-volume pressure and length
Recent history of knee injuries affecting mobility
Torres possesses a massive 94% finish rate

AI Analysis

Elite technical Muay Thai meets a ferocious first-round finisher.

Forecast

This AI forecast anticipates a high-intensity striking battle that starts immediately. Manuel Torres will likely pressure forward from the opening bell, attempting to use his reach to land heavy power shots and disrupt Fiziev's rhythm. Fiziev will likely remain composed, utilizing his signature 'Matrix' head movement and calf kicks to slow the advance of Torres. As the fight enters the second round, the pace is expected to favor Fiziev's technical efficiency and superior gas tank. The most probable outcome is a TKO victory for Fiziev in the second or third round as Torres tires and leaves defensive openings, though Torres remains a live underdog for a first-round stoppage. Confidence level in a Fiziev victory is moderate based on historical performance against aggressive prospects.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This is a quintessential 'top-tier gatekeeper vs. surging prospect' matchup. Rafael Fiziev is one of the most technically sound strikers in the UFC, utilizing high-speed counters and exceptional head movement. Manuel Torres, however, is a dangerous chaos agent who has finished 16 of his 17 wins in the first round. While Torres has a reach and height advantage, Fiziev has historically thrived against aggressive strikers by finding openings in their defensive transitions. The fight likely hinges on whether Torres can overwhelm Fiziev early before Fiziev's superior technical layering takes over the later rounds.

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