← Noche UFC: Silva vs DelgadoDrakkar KloseTommy Gantt

Drakkar Klose vs Tommy GanttNoche UFC: Silva vs Delgado

Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt — Lightweight — is scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 at Noche UFC: Silva vs Delgado in Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · LightweightID · 9D3E1AEE-1766-4202-96F2-BBF4109A91B0
Drakkar Klose

Unranked · Lightweight

Drakkar Klose

16-3-1 · MMA

Unranked · Lightweight

Tommy Gantt

12-0-0 · Freestyle

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Klose

56%

Edge12%

Gantt

44%

Skill Comparison

70
69
Striking
59
67
Wrestling
69
69
Cardio
69
100
Takedown Defense
71
77
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

KloseMetricGantt
5' 9"Height5' 11"
70"Reach76.5"
37Age33
—Stance—
—Finish Rate92%

Career Records

KloseMetricGantt
6Wins by KO/TKO6
—Wins by Submission5
3First-Round Finishes5
4.25Sig. Strikes / Min2.92
3.65Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min0.85
49%Striking Defense44%
1.49Knockdown Avg / 15 min11.29
69%Takedown Defense100%
0Submissions / 15 min1.41
11:37Avg. Fight Time05:19

Strike Distribution

Klose

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

53%

Body

28%

Leg

19%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Klose

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 59%Standing59%
Clinch — 33%Clinch33%
Ground — 8%Ground8%

Primary Position Standing

Gantt

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

71%

Body

29%

Leg

0%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Gantt

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 13%Standing13%
Clinch — 35%Clinch35%
Ground — 52%Ground52%

Primary Position Ground

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Klose

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (4.25 vs 2.92)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Tommy Gantt changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Gantt

Strengths

  • SApM edge (0.85 vs 3.65)
  • TDD edge (100 vs 69)
  • Sub/15 edge (1.41 vs 0)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Drakkar Klose changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Klose
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (4.25 vs 2.92)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Tommy Gantt can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Drakkar Klose has the more repeatable overall route, while Tommy Gantt retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Drakkar Klose and Tommy Gantt to test the matchup's primary phase early. Drakkar Klose is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This lightweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 50% analyst-model lean toward Drakkar Klose. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null. The final lean also incorporates current ranking, five-round or championship-level experience, and sample quality where raw UFC rate statistics alone are incomplete.

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