Source · Live cache← Current event dashboard

Live in 6 days/ Event ID · 41A91718-7FA2-4D46-9FCF-533BB14C87A0

Noche UFC: Silva vs Delgado

Saturday, September 12, 2026 · Desert Diamond Arena · Glendale

Main Card05:00 PM EDT

Fights13

Noche UFC: Silva vs Delgado takes place on Saturday, September 12, 2026 at Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale. Picks Terminal covers 13 bouts on the card with win probabilities, matchup breakdowns and fight intel. Main event: Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado.

Main Event · FeatherweightID · 90432682-5FC1-46C0-94F8-420E52EECA83

Rank #6 · Featherweight

Jean Silva

"Lord"

17-3-0 · Striker

Unranked · Featherweight

Jose Miguel Delgado

12-2-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Silva

62%

Edge24%

Delgado

38%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

SilvaMetricDelgado

5' 7"Height5' 11"

69"Reach73"

29Age28

—Stance—

88%Finish Rate83%

Career Records

SilvaMetricDelgado

12Wins by KO/TKO6

3Wins by Submission4

10First-Round Finishes7

4.82Sig. Strikes / Min6.07

4.50Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min4.18

—Striking Accuracy54%

54%Striking Defense53%

1.20Knockdown Avg / 15 min1.37

—Takedowns / 15 min1.51

—Takedown Accuracy40%

79%Takedown Defense63%

0.60Submissions / 15 min0

09:22Avg. Fight Time09:08

Strike Distribution

Silva

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

67%

Body

27%

Leg

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing86%

Clinch11%

Ground3%

Primary Position Standing

Delgado

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

59%

Body

29%

Leg

11%

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing77%

Clinch11%

Ground11%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Silva

Key Advantages

TDD edge (79 vs 63)
Sub/15 edge (0.6 vs 0)

Potential Concerns

Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
Jose Miguel Delgado can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.

AI Analysis

Jean Silva has the more repeatable overall route, while Jose Miguel Delgado retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Jean Silva and Jose Miguel Delgado to test the matchup's primary phase early. Jean Silva is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This featherweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 51% analyst-model lean toward Jean Silva. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null. The final lean also incorporates current ranking, five-round or championship-level experience, and sample quality where raw UFC rate statistics alone are incomplete.

Picks Terminal Weekly

A tactical UFC briefing — Monday previews, Friday updates.

Every Monday: the full card preview, key matchups, and the model's forecast. Every Friday: fresh updates as fight night approaches. Free, no fluff, one-click unsubscribe.