← Noche UFC: Silva vs DelgadoIgnacio BahamondesMuslim Salikhov

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim SalikhovNoche UFC: Silva vs Delgado

Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov — Welterweight — is scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 at Noche UFC: Silva vs Delgado in Desert Diamond Arena, Glendale. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · WelterweightID · 2E371ABE-C919-4841-9DC1-E2F23C94E5BD
Ignacio Bahamondes

Unranked · Welterweight

Ignacio Bahamondes

"La Jaula"

17-7-0 · Freestyle

Muslim Salikhov

Unranked · Welterweight

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"

22-6-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Bahamondes

56%

Edge12%

Salikhov

44%

Skill Comparison

79
72
Striking
60
60
Wrestling
69
69
Cardio
70
72
Takedown Defense
70
72
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

BahamondesMetricSalikhov
6' 3"Height5' 11"
75.5"Reach70"
28Age41
—Stance—
76%Finish Rate77%

Career Records

BahamondesMetricSalikhov
11Wins by KO/TKO15
2Wins by Submission2
9First-Round Finishes15
5.99Sig. Strikes / Min3.37
4.07Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min2.96
56%Striking Defense62%
0Knockdown Avg / 15 min1.07
70%Takedown Defense72%
0.63Submissions / 15 min0
10:50Avg. Fight Time09:02

Strike Distribution

Bahamondes

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

56%

Body

22%

Leg

22%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Bahamondes

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 89%Standing89%
Clinch — 6%Clinch6%
Ground — 5%Ground5%

Primary Position Standing

Salikhov

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

53%

Body

29%

Leg

18%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Salikhov

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 84%Standing84%
Clinch — 7%Clinch7%
Ground — 10%Ground10%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Bahamondes

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (5.99 vs 3.37)
  • Sub/15 edge (0.63 vs 0)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Muslim Salikhov changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Salikhov

Strengths

  • SApM edge (2.96 vs 4.07)
  • TDD edge (72 vs 70)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Ignacio Bahamondes changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Bahamondes
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (5.99 vs 3.37)
  • Sub/15 edge (0.63 vs 0)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Muslim Salikhov can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Ignacio Bahamondes has the more repeatable statistical and stylistic route, while Muslim Salikhov retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Ignacio Bahamondes and Muslim Salikhov to test the matchup's primary phase early. Ignacio Bahamondes is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This welterweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 56% analyst-model lean toward Ignacio Bahamondes. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null.

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