← UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado GarryDonte JohnsonEric McConico

Donte Johnson vs Eric McConicoUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

Donte Johnson vs Eric McConico — Middleweight — is scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 at UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry in Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · MiddleweightID · 8C2E56DC-D888-4801-8A27-EE8F67FCB717

Unranked · Middleweight

Donte Johnson

"Lock Jaw"

8-0-0 · MMA

Unranked · Middleweight

Eric McConico

11-4-1 · Freestyle

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Johnson

64%

Edge28%

McConico

36%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

JohnsonMetricMcConico

5'8"Height6'0"

74"Reach77"

27Age35

SouthpawStanceSouthpaw

88%Finish Rate64%

Career Records

JohnsonMetricMcConico

6Wins by KO/TKO4

1Wins by Submission3

6First-Round Finishes4

3.11Sig. Strikes / Min2.92

2Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.05

48%Striking Accuracy47%

62%Striking Defense46%

0.67Knockdown Avg / 15 min0

2Takedowns / 15 min0.64

100%Takedown Accuracy0%

75%Takedown Defense69%

0.67Submissions / 15 min0

7:30Avg. Fight Time—

Strike Distribution

Johnson

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

80%

Body

Leg

14%

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing71%

Clinch9%

Ground20%

Primary Position Standing

McConico

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

64%

Body

19%

Leg

17%

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing77%

Clinch23%

Ground0%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

MMA Index sportsbook no-vig

Johnson67%

McConico33%

Masses favor Johnson · Johnson -225 / McConico +189

View source →

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Johnson

Key Advantages

Johnson: undefeated 8-0 record
Johnson: strong takedown efficiency and finishing upside
McConico: size and professional experience

Potential Concerns

Johnson remains relatively lightly tested at UFC level
McConico must keep the fight from becoming a wrestling-heavy pressure matchup

AI Analysis

Johnson's undefeated record, wrestling and power create the higher-upside profile, while McConico brings experience and a longer frame.

Forecast

Donte Johnson by stoppage or clear decision.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Johnson has more ways to dictate where exchanges occur and has shown finishing ability from multiple phases. McConico's best route is disrupting entries and forcing a measured kickboxing fight.

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