← UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado GarryJeremiah WellsMyktybek Orolbai

Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek OrolbaiUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai — Welterweight — was scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 at UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry in Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · WelterweightID · 1BE180EE-02E0-4E10-A569-D48674BDC732
Jeremiah Wells

Unranked · Welterweight

Jeremiah Wells

13-4-1 · Striker

Myktybek Orolbai

Unranked · Welterweight

Myktybek Orolbai

16-2-1 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Wells

37%

Edge26%

Orolbai

63%

Skill Comparison

77
80
Striking
88
94
Wrestling
76
88
Cardio
68
65
Takedown Defense
80
86
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

WellsMetricOrolbai
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
39Age28
SwitchStanceOrthodox
69%Finish Rate81%

Career Records

WellsMetricOrolbai
5Wins by KO/TKO7
4Wins by Submission6
5First-Round Finishes9
2.35Sig. Strikes / Min2.78
1.28Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min2.70
46%Striking Accuracy50%
48%Striking Defense51%
0.44Knockdown Avg / 15 min—
3.06Takedowns / 15 min8.77
46%Takedown Accuracy59%
50%Takedown Defense40%
1.31Submissions / 15 min0.50
9:47Avg. Fight Time—

Strike Distribution

Wells

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

83%

Body

15%

Leg

2%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Wells

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 53%Standing53%
Clinch — 3%Clinch3%
Ground — 44%Ground44%

Primary Position Standing

Orolbai

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

75%

Body

13%

Leg

12%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Orolbai

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

Wells18%
Orolbai82%

Public sentiment favors Orolbai

Aggregated public sentiment, shown as analytics context only. Not odds and not betting advice. 18+.

Latest News

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Orolbai
Key Advantages
  • Orolbai: 8.77 takedowns per 15 minutes
  • Wells: strong submission activity and veteran physicality
  • Orolbai: major age and pace advantage
Potential Concerns
  • Orolbai's 40% takedown defense can produce chaotic reversals
  • Wells must manage the pace against a much younger opponent
AI Analysis

Orolbai's extraordinary wrestling volume and age advantage lean the matchup his way, but Wells remains physically dangerous with real submission upside.

Forecast

Orolbai by decision or late stoppage.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This should be decided through wrestling transitions. Orolbai's relentless volume creates more opportunities over three rounds, while Wells' danger is greatest early and in scrambles.

Picks Terminal Weekly

A concise NFL and UFC/MMA briefing — Monday previews, Friday updates.

Key matchups, model signals, and the stories worth knowing across both sports. Free, no fluff, one-click unsubscribe.