Neil Magny vs Ramiz BrahimajUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry

Neil Magny vs Ramiz Brahimaj — Welterweight — is scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 at UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry in Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · WelterweightID · 6D89306D-DF46-4E27-9085-2E4F62A3072D
Neil Magny

Unranked · Welterweight

Neil Magny

"The Haitian Sensation"

31-15-0 · MMA / Clinch wrestling

Ramiz Brahimaj

Unranked · Welterweight

Ramiz Brahimaj

13-6-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Magny

54%

Edge8%

Brahimaj

46%

Skill Comparison

84
72
Striking
86
92
Wrestling
92
79
Cardio
73
60
Takedown Defense
75
80
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

MagnyMetricBrahimaj
6'3"Height5'10"
80"Reach72"
38Age33
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
45%Finish Rate100%

Career Records

MagnyMetricBrahimaj
9Wins by KO/TKO1
5Wins by Submission12
First-Round Finishes11
3.40Sig. Strikes / Min2.29
2.44Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.27
46%Striking Accuracy49%
52%Striking Defense47%
0.07Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.20
2.17Takedowns / 15 min1.99
39%Takedown Accuracy34%
55%Takedown Defense45%
0.27Submissions / 15 min1.60
11:58Avg. Fight Time8:21

Strike Distribution

Magny

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

71%

Body

19%

Leg

10%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Magny

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 59%Standing59%
Clinch — 18%Clinch18%
Ground — 23%Ground23%

Primary Position Standing

Brahimaj

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

72%

Body

23%

Leg

6%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Brahimaj

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 80%Standing80%
Clinch — 16%Clinch16%
Ground — 4%Ground4%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

MMA Index sportsbook no-vig

Magny50%
Brahimaj50%

Even split · Magny -110 / Brahimaj -110

View source

Latest News

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Magny
Key Advantages
  • Magny: elite UFC experience and 80-inch reach
  • Brahimaj: 12 submission wins in 13 victories
  • Magny: proven ability to win long, grinding fights
Potential Concerns
  • Magny's 55% takedown defense gives Brahimaj access to his best phase
  • Brahimaj's striking output trails Magny's
AI Analysis

Magny's length, experience and clinch pace meet Brahimaj's extremely submission-heavy attack.

Forecast

Magny by decision in a close matchup.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

If Magny maintains clinch control without conceding his back or neck, his volume and experience should accumulate. Brahimaj needs meaningful grappling positions rather than neutral clinch time.

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