← UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs MalottErin BlanchfieldJasmine Jasudavicius

Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine JasudaviciusUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott

Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius — Women's Flyweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott in Rogers Place, Edmonton. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · Women's FlyweightID · CFF6CF34-3514-4512-B7BD-8B8FBB31C218
Erin Blanchfield

Rank #4 · Women's Flyweight

Erin Blanchfield

"Cold Blooded"

14-2-0 · Jiu-Jitsu

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Rank #6 · Women's Flyweight

Jasmine Jasudavicius

15-4-0 · Brawler

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Blanchfield

58%

Edge16%

Jasudavicius

42%

Skill Comparison

79
76
Striking
90
86
Wrestling
86
83
Cardio
78
75
Takedown Defense
82
82
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

BlanchfieldMetricJasudavicius
5' 4"Height5' 7"
66"Reach68"
27Age37
—Stance—
50%Finish Rate40%

Career Records

BlanchfieldMetricJasudavicius
2Wins by KO/TKO2
5Wins by Submission4
3First-Round Finishes3
5.24Sig. Strikes / Min3.47
4.25Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.46
44%Striking Accuracy44%
59%Striking Defense52%
0Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.09
1.96Takedowns / 15 min2.63
21%Takedown Accuracy3%
78%Takedown Defense75%
0.86Submissions / 15 min0.54
13:37Avg. Fight Time12:45

Strike Distribution

Blanchfield

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

71%

Body

16%

Leg

14%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Blanchfield

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 77%Standing77%
Clinch — 7%Clinch7%
Ground — 16%Ground16%

Primary Position Standing

Jasudavicius

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

70%

Body

23%

Leg

7%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Jasudavicius

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 64%Standing64%
Clinch — 11%Clinch11%
Ground — 25%Ground25%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Blanchfield

Strengths

  • Five submission wins and 0.86 submissions per 15 minutes
  • 78% takedown defense
  • Higher striking pace and broader finishing routes

Weaknesses

  • Sample uncertainty can distort rate statistics
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Build repeatable offense rather than chase isolated moments

Threats

  • Jasmine Jasudavicius changing the fight phase
  • A high-impact momentum swing
Jasudavicius

Strengths

  • Live counter-route against Erin Blanchfield
  • Can outperform the model by controlling the preferred phase

Weaknesses

  • Sample uncertainty can distort rate statistics
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Build repeatable offense rather than chase isolated moments

Threats

  • Erin Blanchfield changing the fight phase
  • A high-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Blanchfield
Key Advantages
  • Five submission wins and 0.86 submissions per 15 minutes
  • 78% takedown defense
  • Higher striking pace and broader finishing routes
Potential Concerns
  • Jasudavicius averages 2.63 takedowns per 15 minutes
  • Jasudavicius owns height and reach advantages
  • Blanchfield absorbs 4.25 significant strikes per minute
AI Analysis

Blanchfield's submission depth and transition game create the stronger high-leverage route, while Jasudavicius can compete through physical wrestling and top control.

Forecast

Blanchfield is projected to win the higher-leverage grappling exchanges, with Jasudavicius capable of narrowing the fight through size and positional discipline.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Blanchfield should chain clinch entries, scrambles and back-taking opportunities rather than accept prolonged fence control. Jasudavicius is large and disciplined enough to turn exchanges into close control minutes, but Blanchfield's transition speed and submission layers produce the more repeatable scoring and finishing path.

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