Main Event · WelterweightID · C6560BDD-0555-4A8F-A6FC-3AB7290FEC50
Rank #10 · Welterweight
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
21-8-0 · Freestyle
Rank #13 · Welterweight
Mike Malott
"Proper"
14-2-1 · MMA
Win Probability Model · v4.2
Buckley
51%
Edge2%
Malott
49%
Skill Comparison
82
81
Striking
74
77
Wrestling
80
78
Cardio
70
57
Takedown Defense
78
77
Chin Durability
Physical Attributes
BuckleyMetricMalott
5' 10"Height6' 1"
76"Reach73"
32Age34
—Stance—
71%Finish Rate86%
Career Records
BuckleyMetricMalott
15Wins by KO/TKO6
0Wins by Submission6
4First-Round Finishes9
3.62Sig. Strikes / Min4.02
3.10Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.09
36%Striking Accuracy48%
59%Striking Defense56%
0.68Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.82
1.43Takedowns / 15 min1.63
17%Takedown Accuracy0%
70%Takedown Defense57%
0.08Submissions / 15 min0.65
11:45Avg. Fight Time09:12
Strike Distribution
Buckley
Sig. Strikes by Target
Primary Target Head
Head
62%
Body
28%
Leg
10%
Sig. Strikes by Position
Standing75%
Clinch6%
Ground19%Primary Position Standing
Malott
Sig. Strikes by Target
Primary Target Head
Head
64%
Body
19%
Leg
17%
Sig. Strikes by Position
Standing81%Clinch4%Ground15%Primary Position Standing
Fight Intel
Public Consensus
— Consensus data unavailable —
Latest News
— No recent news —
Buckley
Strengths
- Buckley owns fifteen knockout wins and a 76-inch reach
- 70% takedown defense limits Malott's easiest phase change
- Buckley has the deeper sample in extended high-level fights
Weaknesses
- Sample uncertainty can distort rate statistics
- Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down
Opportunities
- Establish the preferred phase early
- Build repeatable offense rather than chase isolated moments
Threats
- Mike Malott changing the fight phase
- A high-impact momentum swing
Malott
Strengths
- Live counter-route against Joaquin Buckley
- Can outperform the model by controlling the preferred phase
Weaknesses
- Sample uncertainty can distort rate statistics
- Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down
Opportunities
- Establish the preferred phase early
- Build repeatable offense rather than chase isolated moments
Threats
- Joaquin Buckley changing the fight phase
- A high-impact momentum swing