← UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs MalottJulien LeblancNick Galanti

Julien Leblanc vs Nick GalantiUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott

Julien Leblanc vs Nick Galanti — Middleweight — is scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott in Rogers Place, Edmonton. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · MiddleweightID · 2674F623-B0F5-47C7-A87B-AA9D56C92E7F
Julien Leblanc

Unranked · Middleweight

Julien Leblanc

10-3-0 · —

Unranked · Middleweight

Nick Galanti

8-1-0 · —

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Leblanc

46%

Edge8%

Galanti

54%

Skill Comparison

78
80
Striking
76
78
Wrestling
73
72
Cardio
—
—
Takedown Defense
74
74
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

LeblancMetricGalanti
6' 2"Height—
74.5"Reach—
34Age28
—Stance—
80%Finish Rate—

Career Records

LeblancMetricGalanti
4Wins by KO/TKO—
4Wins by Submission—
1.69Sig. Strikes / Min13.71
2.96Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min1.71
67%Striking Accuracy80%
—Knockdown Avg / 15 min0
0Takedowns / 15 min0
—Takedown Accuracy0%
0Submissions / 15 min0
—Avg. Fight Time00:35

Strike Distribution

Leblanc

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Body

Head

25%

Body

50%

Leg

25%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Leblanc

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 100%Standing100%
Clinch — 0%Clinch0%
Ground — 0%Ground0%

Primary Position Standing

Galanti

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

100%

Body

0%

Leg

0%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Galanti

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 0%Standing0%
Clinch — 13%Clinch13%
Ground — 88%Ground88%

Primary Position Ground

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Leblanc

Strengths

  • Live counter-route against Nick Galanti
  • Can outperform the model by controlling the preferred phase

Weaknesses

  • Sample uncertainty can distort rate statistics
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Build repeatable offense rather than chase isolated moments

Threats

  • Nick Galanti changing the fight phase
  • A high-impact momentum swing
Galanti

Strengths

  • Eight-one professional record and six-year age advantage
  • Fast ground finish in the available UFC aggregate
  • Strong pressure-wrestling route

Weaknesses

  • Sample uncertainty can distort rate statistics
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Build repeatable offense rather than chase isolated moments

Threats

  • Julien Leblanc changing the fight phase
  • A high-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Galanti
Key Advantages
  • Only eight landed UFC significant strikes
  • Leblanc is taller and owns a 74.5-inch reach
  • The available rates are too small to treat as stable
Potential Concerns
  • Eight-one professional record and six-year age advantage
  • Fast ground finish in the available UFC aggregate
  • Strong pressure-wrestling route
AI Analysis

Galanti's younger, unbeaten recent run and fast finishing sample earn a cautious lean in a matchup with very limited UFC data.

Forecast

Galanti is projected to create the more decisive grappling moments, but this remains one of the card's lowest-confidence estimates.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Galanti should close distance and make Leblanc defend layered grappling rather than kickbox at long range. Leblanc's length and outside striking can flip the matchup if he prevents clinch contact. Both samples are too thin for a strong forecast.

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