← UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. UsmanRJ HarrisAlvin Hines

RJ Harris vs Alvin HinesUFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. Usman

RJ Harris vs Alvin Hines — Heavyweight — was scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. Usman in Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

slot.Prelim · HeavyweightID · D949BB66-08BB-492F-B6CC-B43D57283C0C

Rank N/A · Heavyweight

RJ Harris

"The Hammer"

6-0-0 · Wrestling

Rank N/A · Heavyweight

Alvin Hines

"Goozie"

7-1-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Harris

52%

Edge4%

Hines

48%

Skill Comparison

77
83
Striking
78
62
Wrestling
68
65
Cardio
—
0
Takedown Defense
78
78
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

HarrisMetricHines
6'6"Height6'2"
80"Reach74"
27Age34
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
80%Finish Rate86%

Career Records

HarrisMetricHines
2Wins by KO/TKO0
3Wins by Submission0
3First-Round Finishes—
—Sig. Strikes / Min5.47
—Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min7.47
—Striking Accuracy31%
—Striking Defense38%
9Knockdown Avg / 15 min—
—Takedowns / 15 min1
—Takedown Accuracy10%
—Takedown Defense0%
—Submissions / 15 min0
01:40Avg. Fight Time—

Strike Distribution

Harris

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

80%

Body

0%

Leg

20%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Harris

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 47%Standing47%
Clinch — 0%Clinch0%
Ground — 53%Ground53%

Primary Position Ground

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

Harris100%
Hines0%

Public sentiment favors Harris

Aggregated public sentiment, shown as analytics context only. Not odds and not betting advice. 18+.

Latest News

— No recent news —

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Harris
Key Advantages
  • Undefeated 5-0 finisher with heavy hands out of Sprawlin & Brawlin MMA
  • Massive frame at 6'6" / 80" reach — 4" height and 6" reach edge over Hines
  • 27 years old with 7-year age advantage and fresher mileage
  • LFA momentum: earned UFC contract on the strength of his last performance
Potential Concerns
  • UFC debutant — untested against elite competition
  • No public UFC-level striking or grappling metrics to gauge defense
  • Hines is the more experienced pro (7-1) with a full UFC camp behind him
  • Cardio in championship rounds unproven at heavyweight
AI Analysis

A 57-year-old boxing legend makes a bizarre late-career transition against a prime UFC heavyweight.

Forecast

The fight will begin with Harris attempting to use his trademark head movement, but the lack of large gloves and the threat of clinch work will immediately stifle him. Hines is likely to realize the grappling disparity within the first minute. Given Harris' age and 45% estimated chin durability in a modern context, a single clean connection or a grounded flurry will end the night. Hines should secure a takedown or a clinch-based TKO within the first three minutes. Expect a dominant, one-sided finish for the active heavyweight.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

RJ "The Hammer" Harris makes his UFC debut riding a perfect 5-0 record out of LFA, where he earned his UFC contract with a finish over top regional competition. At 6'6" and 258 lbs with an 80-inch reach, the 27-year-old Zanesville, Ohio product is one of the largest heavyweights on the roster and fights out of Sprawlin & Brawlin MMA. Alvin "Goozie" Hines (7-1) is the more seasoned pro and the betting underdog at +120, giving up four inches of height and six inches of reach. Expect Harris to establish his jab and long right hand early, using his frame to keep Hines at kickboxing range; Hines' best path is to close the distance, break the rhythm in the clinch, and drag the fight into deep water where Harris' cardio is untested. Sharp UFC-level defense will be the biggest question mark for the debutant, but the physical tools and finishing pedigree make him a live betting favorite.

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