Rank 2 · Middleweight
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
23-3-0 · Kickboxing / Grappling
Rank 10 · Middleweight
Kamaru Usman
"Nigerian Nightmare"
21-4-0 · Wrestling
Win Probability Model · v4.2
Plessis
58%
Usman
42%
Skill Comparison
Physical Attributes
Career Records
Strike Distribution
Plessis
Sig. Strikes by Target
Primary Target Head
Head
Body
Leg
Sig. Strikes by Position
Standing82%
Clinch8%
Ground10%Primary Position Standing
Usman
Sig. Strikes by Target
Primary Target Head
Head
Body
Leg
Sig. Strikes by Position
Standing57%Clinch17%Ground26%Primary Position Standing
Fight Intel
Public Consensus
Public sentiment favors Plessis
Aggregated public sentiment, shown as analytics context only. Not odds and not betting advice. 18+.
Latest News
- Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman Preview and Breakdown
f4wonline.com
Dricus Du Plessis makes his return to the octagon for the first time since losing to Khamzat Chimaev to face Kamaru Usman.
- The road back to gold runs through #UFCOKC. Dricus du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman
facebook.com
Dricus du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman is officially set for July 18 on Paramount+ in Oklahoma City.
- Kamaru Usman vs Dricus Du Plessis is Beyond Lopsided
youtube.com
UFC Fighters are discussing whether Dricus Du Plessis is being overlooked despite Usman's legendary status.
Strengths
- Extremely high offensive output (5.18 SLpM)
- Dangerous 87% finishing instinct
- Exceptional recovery and 'weird' physical strength
Weaknesses
- Highly porous takedown defense (34%)
- Awkward striking mechanics lead to getting hit
- Tends to gas out in high-intensity scrambles
Opportunities
- Capitalize on Usman's aging knees and reduced mobility
- Use size to bully the former 170lb champion in clinch
- Overwhelm Usman's lower volume (3.5 SLpM) with pace
Threats
- Usman's elite 97% TDD could force a pure kickboxing match
- Getting caught by Usman's straight right hand counter
- Usman's veteran experience in 5-round championship pacings
Strengths
- All-time great takedown defense (97.3%)
- Elite wrestling pedigree and championship experience
- High-level fundamental jab and distance management
Weaknesses
- Advanced age (39) for the middleweight division
- Diminishing chin durability (1 KO loss)
- Relatively low offensive submission threat
Opportunities
- Expose DDP's 34% TDD to control the location of the fight
- Use technical precision to counter DDP's wild entries
- Drag the fight to deep waters where DDP has shown fatigue
Threats
- DDP's power at Middleweight may be too much to absorb
- Getting pinned against the cage by a larger opponent
- Falling behind on scorecards due to DDP's 5.18 SLpM volume