Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline — UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. Usman

← UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. UsmanTabatha RicciFatima Kline

Tabatha Ricci vs Fatima Kline — Women's Strawweight — was scheduled for Saturday, July 18, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: du Plessis vs. Usman in Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

slot.Prelim · Women's StrawweightID · B1492C97-DC90-4498-A280-2430D3A0D687

Rank #8 · Women's Strawweight

Tabatha Ricci

"Baby Shark"

12-4-0 · Judo / BJJ / Striker

Rank #11 · Women's Strawweight

Fatima Kline

"The Archangel"

9-1-0 · Wrestler / Grappler

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Ricci

46%

Edge8%

Kline

54%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

RicciMetricKline

5'1"Height5'6"

61"Reach67"

31Age25

OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

25%Finish Rate33%

Career Records

RicciMetricKline

2Wins by KO/TKO2

1Wins by Submission0

4Sig. Strikes / Min5.01

4.83Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min2.71

37%Striking Accuracy50%

57%Striking Defense57%

2.51Takedowns / 15 min2.02

37%Takedown Accuracy58%

65%Takedown Defense50%

0.10Submissions / 15 min0

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

Kalshi

Ricci22%

Kline78%

Masses favor Kline · Ricci +355 / Kline -359

View source →

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Kline

Key Advantages

Ricci has the experience edge holding 8 UFC victories against top-ranked veterans
Kline's 5.01 SLpM significantly outpaces Ricci's 4.00, suggesting a range advantage
Kline holds a massive 5-inch height and 6-inch reach advantage over Ricci

Potential Concerns

Ricci absorbs more than she lands (4.83 SApM vs 4.00 SLpM)
Kline's takedown defense is statistically vulnerable at 50%
Ricci's 61-inch reach is one of the shortest in the division, making entry difficult

AI Analysis

Physicality vs. Experience: Can Ricci's judo negate Kline's superior size and striking volume?

Forecast

Fatima Kline will likely use her significant reach to keep Ricci on the outside, pumping a jab to disrupt Ricci's shot entries. Ricci will find success in the clinch early using her judo trips, but Kline's youth and size should allow her to scramble back to her feet or win the isometric battles against the fence. As the fight progresses into the second and third rounds, Kline's superior volume and 5.01 SLpM should pull her ahead on the scorecards. Ricci's toughness will keep her in the fight, but she will likely drop a unanimous decision due to the disparity in significant strikes. Confidence is moderate given Ricci's tactical veteran savvy.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This is a classic 'old guard vs. new blood' matchup. Tabatha Ricci relies on her high-level judo (2.51 TDs per 15 min) to control opponents, but she often struggles against larger athletes who can keep her at the end of their strikes. Fatima Kline brings a much more athletic frame and higher offensive output (5.01 SLpM), backed by a 50% striking accuracy. While Ricci's defensive wrestling (65%) is respectable, Kline’s 58% takedown accuracy suggests she can force the grappling exchanges to be on her terms, likely utilizing her weight to stifle Ricci’s transitions.

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