← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs RodriguesAnthony WintTerrance Chatman

Anthony Wint vs Terrance ChatmanUFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman — Heavyweight — was scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues in Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

slot.Prelim · HeavyweightID · F4E72EDB-08D3-49E3-9748-996216CB2A0B

Rank NR · Heavyweight

Anthony Wint

7-0-0 · MMA

Rank NR · Heavyweight

Terrance Chatman

"The Answer"

5-1-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Wint

55%

Edge10%

Chatman

45%

Skill Comparison

80
79
Striking
65
60
Wrestling
70
70
Cardio
70
68
Takedown Defense
80
78
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

WintMetricChatman
6' 0"Height6' 2"
—Reach—
30Age—
—Stance—
86%Finish Rate80%

Career Records

WintMetricChatman
5Wins by KO/TKO4
1Wins by Submission0

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Wint

Strengths

  • 7-0 undefeated record
  • Six finishes in seven wins
  • Elite athletic background

Weaknesses

  • 11-day turnaround
  • No UFC rate sample
  • Reach/stance not reliably verified

Opportunities

  • Explode before Chatman settles
  • Use physicality in clinch

Threats

  • Chatman's leg kicks
  • Short-notice heavyweight variance
Chatman

Strengths

  • Four KO wins
  • 80% finish rate
  • Recent leg-kick TKO

Weaknesses

  • 5-1 sample
  • No UFC rate sample
  • Short-notice debut

Opportunities

  • Attack Wint's base
  • Make quick turnaround matter

Threats

  • Wint's explosiveness
  • Undefeated opponent confidence

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Wint
Key Advantages
  • Wint is 7-0 with five KOs and one submission.
  • Wint scored a 34-second DWCS TKO just 11 days before this event.
  • Chatman is 5-1 with four KOs and an 80% finish rate.
Potential Concerns
  • Wint is making an extremely quick turnaround after fighting Aug. 11.
  • Neither fighter has UFCStats career-rate data yet.
  • Chatman's recent leg-kick TKO gives him a credible low-line attack against the former football athlete.
AI Analysis

Wint's undefeated athletic finishing profile gets a slight lean, but both men are short-notice UFC debutants with no established UFC rate sample.

Forecast

Expect both men to begin cautiously despite their finishing records because a UFC debut on short notice changes the pacing incentives. Wint will likely look to impose athletic pressure and create explosive boxing or clinch moments, while Chatman should invest in the legs and force Wint to reset. The first clean power sequence could swing the fight quickly. Wint by early-to-middle-round stoppage is the narrow projection, but confidence is deliberately low.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

The data confidence here is intentionally lower because both heavyweights are making their UFC debuts and neither has a UFCStats sample. Wint is undefeated at 7-0 and has finished six of seven wins, including a 34-second Contender Series knockout only eleven days before this event. Chatman is 5-1 with four knockout wins and comes off a leg-kick TKO, giving him a clear route to attack Wint's base and explosiveness. Wint's athletic upside and broader finishing record earn the slight model lean, but the turnaround time meaningfully narrows the gap. This matchup should be treated as one of the card's highest-uncertainty forecasts.

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