← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs RodriguesAnthony WintTerrance Chatman

Anthony Wint vs Terrance ChatmanUFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

Anthony Wint vs Terrance Chatman — Heavyweight — was scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues in Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

slot.Prelim · HeavyweightID · F4E72EDB-08D3-49E3-9748-996216CB2A0B

Unranked · Heavyweight

Anthony Wint

"Bow Down"

8-0-0 · MMA

Rank NR · Heavyweight

Terrance Chatman

"The Answer"

5-1-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Wint

55%

Edge10%

Chatman

45%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

100

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

WintMetricChatman

5' 11"Height6' 2"

78"Reach—

30Age—

—Stance—

88%Finish Rate80%

Career Records

WintMetricChatman

5Wins by KO/TKO4

2Wins by Submission0

5First-Round Finishes—

3.56Sig. Strikes / Min—

0.20Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min—

83%Striking Defense—

0Knockdown Avg / 15 min—

100%Takedown Defense—

Strike Distribution

Wint

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

61%

Body

17%

Leg

22%

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing33%

Clinch0%

Ground67%

Primary Position Ground

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Wint

Key Advantages

Wint is 7-0 with five KOs and one submission.
Wint scored a 34-second DWCS TKO just 11 days before this event.
Chatman is 5-1 with four KOs and an 80% finish rate.

Potential Concerns

Wint is making an extremely quick turnaround after fighting Aug. 11.
Neither fighter has UFCStats career-rate data yet.
Chatman's recent leg-kick TKO gives him a credible low-line attack against the former football athlete.

AI Analysis

Wint's undefeated athletic finishing profile gets a slight lean, but both men are short-notice UFC debutants with no established UFC rate sample.

Forecast

Expect both men to begin cautiously despite their finishing records because a UFC debut on short notice changes the pacing incentives. Wint will likely look to impose athletic pressure and create explosive boxing or clinch moments, while Chatman should invest in the legs and force Wint to reset. The first clean power sequence could swing the fight quickly. Wint by early-to-middle-round stoppage is the narrow projection, but confidence is deliberately low.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

The data confidence here is intentionally lower because both heavyweights are making their UFC debuts and neither has a UFCStats sample. Wint is undefeated at 7-0 and has finished six of seven wins, including a 34-second Contender Series knockout only eleven days before this event. Chatman is 5-1 with four knockout wins and comes off a leg-kick TKO, giving him a clear route to attack Wint's base and explosiveness. Wint's athletic upside and broader finishing record earn the slight model lean, but the turnaround time meaningfully narrows the gap. This matchup should be treated as one of the card's highest-uncertainty forecasts.

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