← UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs RodriguesJamall EmmersLerryan Douglas

Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan DouglasUFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues

Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas — Featherweight — was scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues in Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

slot.Prelim · FeatherweightID · 44B53A86-6BC7-4FD1-B789-6A1E3F591465
Jamall Emmers

Rank NR · Featherweight

Jamall Emmers

"Pretty Boy"

22-8-0 · Kickboxer

Lerryan Douglas

Rank NR · Featherweight

Lerryan Douglas

"Gunslinger"

14-5-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Emmers

61%

Edge22%

Douglas

39%

Skill Comparison

84
88
Striking
78
54
Wrestling
84
72
Cardio
85
68
Takedown Defense
77
82
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

EmmersMetricDouglas
5' 10"Height5' 9"
74"Reach72"
37Age31
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
55%Finish Rate79%

Career Records

EmmersMetricDouglas
9Wins by KO/TKO8
3Wins by Submission3
6First-Round Finishes7
5.10Sig. Strikes / Min8.67
3.92Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min4.82
49%Striking Accuracy64%
57%Striking Defense64%
0.65Knockdown Avg / 15 min—
2.59Takedowns / 15 min0
53%Takedown Accuracy0%
81%Takedown Defense—
0.30Submissions / 15 min0
09:16Avg. Fight Time02:05

Strike Distribution

Emmers

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

59%

Body

29%

Leg

12%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Emmers

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 81%Standing81%
Clinch — 11%Clinch11%
Ground — 8%Ground8%

Primary Position Standing

Douglas

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

61%

Body

8%

Leg

31%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Douglas

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 89%Standing89%
Clinch — 6%Clinch6%
Ground — 6%Ground6%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Emmers

Strengths

  • 5.10 SLpM
  • 81% TDD
  • 2.59 TD/15

Weaknesses

  • Has been stopped before
  • 37 on fight week
  • Can enter high-variance exchanges

Opportunities

  • Wrestle after Douglas' explosive starts
  • Extend fight into later minutes

Threats

  • Douglas' early KO power
  • 64% small-sample accuracy
Douglas

Strengths

  • Eight KO wins
  • Explosive UFC debut
  • 64% current striking defense

Weaknesses

  • Tiny UFC sample
  • No established UFC wrestling sample
  • 4.82 SApM

Opportunities

  • Force early power exchanges
  • Use speed before Emmers establishes grappling

Threats

  • Emmers' wrestling layer
  • Veteran round-management

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Emmers
Key Advantages
  • Emmers has a 5.10 SLpM / 3.92 SApM differential and 81% TDD.
  • Emmers adds 2.59 takedowns per 15 with 53% historical accuracy.
  • Douglas' 8.67 SLpM is explosive but comes from a very small UFC sample.
Potential Concerns
  • Douglas has eight KO wins and just stopped Julian Erosa in round one.
  • Emmers has been stopped in prior high-variance striking matchups.
  • Douglas' small UFC sample makes his true long-run ceiling uncertain.
AI Analysis

Douglas brings explosive early power, but Emmers' proven UFC sample, wrestling layer and defensive depth make him the more reliable three-round side.

Forecast

Douglas should be most dangerous in the opening minutes, when his speed and power can create another fast finish. Emmers should respond by extending exchanges, changing levels and forcing Douglas to defend longer sequences than he has faced in the UFC. If Emmers gets through the first round without major damage, his wrestling and experience should increasingly matter. The projection is Emmers by decision, with Douglas by early knockout the principal alternative.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Douglas arrives with real danger: eight knockout wins and an explosive UFC debut that inflated his current output to 8.67 SLpM. Emmers is the much more established UFC commodity, landing 5.10 SLpM while defending 81% of takedowns and producing 2.59 of his own per 15. That wrestling layer is important because it gives Emmers a way to cool Douglas' early striking burst rather than meeting him in a pure firefight. Douglas' 64% current striking accuracy and defense are promising but come from too little UFC time to treat as stable. The model favors Emmers' experience, defensive depth and ability to change phases.

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