← UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs NolanFarman HasanovJean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Farman Hasanov vs Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan

Farman Hasanov vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani — Welterweight — was scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan in Meta APEX, Las Vegas. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · WelterweightID · FE58DBFC-028E-4212-9662-C51BE203EB4D

Unranked · Welterweight

Farman Hasanov

6-0-0 · Wrestler

Unranked · Welterweight

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

11-2-0 · Freestyle

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Hasanov

44%

Edge12%

Lebosnoyani

56%

Skill Comparison

80
90
Striking
96
96
Wrestling
88
80
Cardio
79
100
Takedown Defense
86
84
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

HasanovMetricLebosnoyani
6' 0"Height5' 11"
—Reach72"
31Age27
—Stance—
67%Finish Rate73%

Career Records

HasanovMetricLebosnoyani
4Wins by KO/TKO3
—Wins by Submission5
3First-Round Finishes7
1.40Sig. Strikes / Min4.14
1Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min4.05
51%Striking Accuracy47%
71%Striking Defense57%
0Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.48
17Takedowns / 15 min2.89
—Takedown Accuracy21%
—Takedown Defense100%
0Submissions / 15 min1.93
15:00Avg. Fight Time10:23

Strike Distribution

Hasanov

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

95%

Body

5%

Leg

0%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Hasanov

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 90%Standing90%
Clinch — 0%Clinch0%
Ground — 10%Ground10%

Primary Position Standing

Lebosnoyani

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

61%

Body

19%

Leg

20%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Lebosnoyani

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 77%Standing77%
Clinch — 13%Clinch13%
Ground — 10%Ground10%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Hasanov

Strengths

  • Farman Hasanov leads in significant-strike defense (71% vs 57%)
  • Farman Hasanov leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (17 vs 2.89)
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison

Weaknesses

  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in significant-strike pace (4.14 vs 1.4)
  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in submission activity per 15 minutes (1.93 vs 0)

Opportunities

  • Force Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in significant-strike pace (4.14 vs 1.4)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's preferred range
Lebosnoyani

Strengths

  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in significant-strike pace (4.14 vs 1.4)
  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in submission activity per 15 minutes (1.93 vs 0)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's preferred range

Weaknesses

  • Farman Hasanov leads in significant-strike defense (71% vs 57%)
  • Farman Hasanov leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (17 vs 2.89)

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Farman Hasanov changing the fight phase
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Lebosnoyani
Key Advantages
  • Farman Hasanov leads in significant-strike defense (71% vs 57%)
  • Farman Hasanov leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (17 vs 2.89)
  • Small samples add uncertainty to the numerical comparison
Potential Concerns
  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in significant-strike pace (4.14 vs 1.4)
  • Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani leads in submission activity per 15 minutes (1.93 vs 0)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's preferred range
AI Analysis

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's blend of measurable phase advantages and repeatable scoring routes produces a 56-44 analyst-model lean.

Forecast

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is projected to win the higher share of repeatable scoring exchanges, but the matchup remains competitive and sensitive to early phase control.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani projects best when the fight stays in the phases reflected by the stronger pace and defensive metrics, while Farman Hasanov can change the matchup through pressure, transitions and sustained control. The projection stays conservative because career aggregates do not capture every tactical adjustment, and limited UFC samples are down-weighted.

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