← UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs NolanLuana SantosYana Santos

Luana Santos vs Yana SantosUFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan

Luana Santos vs Yana Santos — Women's Bantamweight — was scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan in Meta APEX, Las Vegas. Official result not yet recorded. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · Women's BantamweightID · 4ABE3129-D9DB-4553-A4B1-2A02A5E88CCC
Luana Santos

Rank #7 · Women's Bantamweight

Luana Santos

11-2-0 · Judo

Yana Santos

Rank #6 · Women's Bantamweight

Yana Santos

17-8-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Santos

58%

Edge16%

Santos

42%

Skill Comparison

85
92
Striking
89
68
Wrestling
82
82
Cardio
86
52
Takedown Defense
86
86
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

SantosMetricSantos
5' 6"Height5' 6"
67"Reach68.5"
26Age36
—Stance—
55%Finish Rate47%

Career Records

SantosMetricSantos
1Wins by KO/TKO7
5Wins by Submission1
4First-Round Finishes7
2.53Sig. Strikes / Min4.41
2.45Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.12
54%Striking Accuracy58%
64%Striking Defense53%
0Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.10
2.14Takedowns / 15 min0.78
—Takedown Accuracy6%
86%Takedown Defense52%
0.97Submissions / 15 min0.10
11:01Avg. Fight Time12:48

Strike Distribution

Santos

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

59%

Body

29%

Leg

12%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Santos

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 89%Standing89%
Clinch — 9%Clinch9%
Ground — 2%Ground2%

Primary Position Standing

Santos

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Balanced

Head

34%

Body

41%

Leg

25%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Santos

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 56%Standing56%
Clinch — 39%Clinch39%
Ground — 5%Ground5%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Santos

Strengths

  • Luana Santos leads in significant-strike defense (64% vs 53%)
  • Luana Santos leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (2.14 vs 0.78)
  • Luana Santos leads in takedown defense (86% vs 52%)

Weaknesses

  • Yana Santos leads in significant-strike pace (4.41 vs 2.53)
  • Yana Santos's path improves if early exchanges establish tempo

Opportunities

  • Force Yana Santos away from the projected win condition
  • Exploit transitions after the first defensive layer

Threats

  • Yana Santos leads in significant-strike pace (4.41 vs 2.53)
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Yana Santos's preferred range
Santos

Strengths

  • Yana Santos leads in significant-strike pace (4.41 vs 2.53)
  • Yana Santos's path improves if early exchanges establish tempo
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Yana Santos's preferred range

Weaknesses

  • Luana Santos leads in significant-strike defense (64% vs 53%)
  • Luana Santos leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (2.14 vs 0.78)

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase early
  • Turn measurable advantages into repeatable scoring sequences

Threats

  • Luana Santos changing the fight phase
  • Luana Santos leads in takedown defense (86% vs 52%)

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Santos
Key Advantages
  • Luana Santos leads in significant-strike defense (64% vs 53%)
  • Luana Santos leads in takedown activity per 15 minutes (2.14 vs 0.78)
  • Luana Santos leads in takedown defense (86% vs 52%)
Potential Concerns
  • Yana Santos leads in significant-strike pace (4.41 vs 2.53)
  • Yana Santos's path improves if early exchanges establish tempo
  • Clean defense-to-offense transitions can protect Yana Santos's preferred range
AI Analysis

Luana Santos's blend of measurable phase advantages and repeatable scoring routes produces a 58-42 analyst-model lean.

Forecast

Luana Santos is projected to win the higher share of repeatable scoring exchanges, but the matchup remains competitive and sensitive to early phase control.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Yana Santos projects best when the fight stays in the phases reflected by the stronger pace and defensive metrics, while Luana Santos can change the matchup through pressure, transitions and sustained control. The projection stays conservative because career aggregates do not capture every tactical adjustment, and limited UFC samples are down-weighted.

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