← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs ParnasseMichael Venom PageNursulton Ruziboev

Michael Venom Page vs Nursulton RuziboevUFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse

Michael Venom Page vs Nursulton Ruziboev — Middleweight — is scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse in Accor Arena, Paris. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Main Card · MiddleweightID · 37B11C60-6DF6-401D-9E19-5815F1BC0DDD

Rank #15 · Middleweight

Michael Venom Page

"Venom"

25-3-0 · MMA

Nursulton Ruziboev

Unranked · Middleweight

Nursulton Ruziboev

"Black"

37-9-2 · Kickboxer

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Page

53%

Edge6%

Ruziboev

47%

Skill Comparison

67
68
Striking
60
53
Wrestling
69
69
Cardio
70
33
Takedown Defense
75
73
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

PageMetricRuziboev
6' 3"Height6' 5"
79"Reach76"
39Age32
—Stance—
64%Finish Rate92%

Career Records

PageMetricRuziboev
13Wins by KO/TKO13
3Wins by Submission21
13First-Round Finishes26
2.28Sig. Strikes / Min2.38
1.51Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min2.68
62%Striking Defense49%
0.19Knockdown Avg / 15 min1.36
70%Takedown Defense33%
0Submissions / 15 min0.34
11:21Avg. Fight Time07:21

Strike Distribution

Page

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

66%

Body

20%

Leg

14%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Page

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 86%Standing86%
Clinch — 6%Clinch6%
Ground — 8%Ground8%

Primary Position Standing

Ruziboev

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

69%

Body

26%

Leg

6%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Ruziboev

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 71%Standing71%
Clinch — 8%Clinch8%
Ground — 21%Ground21%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Page

Strengths

  • SApM edge (1.51 vs 2.68)
  • TDD edge (70 vs 33)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Nursulton Ruziboev changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Ruziboev

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (2.38 vs 2.28)
  • Sub/15 edge (0.34 vs 0)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Michael Venom Page changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Page
Key Advantages
  • SApM edge (1.51 vs 2.68)
  • TDD edge (70 vs 33)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Nursulton Ruziboev can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Michael Venom Page has the more repeatable statistical and stylistic route, while Nursulton Ruziboev retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Michael Venom Page and Nursulton Ruziboev to test the matchup's primary phase early. Michael Venom Page is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This middleweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 53% analyst-model lean toward Michael Venom Page. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null.

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