Live tonight/ Event ID · 0FB4152C-38C1-4866-AEB9-CF319AB37398

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · Accor Arena · Paris

Main Card03:00 PM EDT

Fights14

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse takes place on Saturday, September 5, 2026 at Accor Arena, Paris. Picks Terminal covers 14 bouts on the card with win probabilities, matchup breakdowns and fight intel. Main event: Dan Hooker vs Salahdine Parnasse.

Main Event · LightweightID · FC763DB3-1B80-4B6A-A8CA-5CF1C186D2C4

Rank #10 · Lightweight

Dan Hooker

"The Hangman"

24-14-0 · MMA

Unranked · Lightweight

Salahdine Parnasse

"Lion of Atlas"

23-2-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Hooker

40%

Edge20%

Parnasse

60%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

—

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

HookerMetricParnasse

6' 0"Height5' 8"

75"Reach—

36Age28

—Stance—

75%Finish Rate65%

Career Records

HookerMetricParnasse

11Wins by KO/TKO8

7Wins by Submission7

12First-Round Finishes—

4.82Sig. Strikes / Min—

4.94Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min—

49%Striking Defense—

0.68Knockdown Avg / 15 min—

77%Takedown Defense—

0.56Submissions / 15 min—

10:08Avg. Fight Time00:00

Strike Distribution

Hooker

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

62%

Body

18%

Leg

19%

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing84%

Clinch9%

Ground7%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Parnasse

Key Advantages

More complete available official UFC profile

Potential Concerns

Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
Salahdine Parnasse can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.

AI Analysis

Salahdine Parnasse has the more repeatable overall route, while Dan Hooker retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Dan Hooker and Salahdine Parnasse to test the matchup's primary phase early. Dan Hooker is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This lightweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 55% analyst-model lean toward Dan Hooker. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null. The final lean also incorporates verified pre-UFC professional experience because UFC-only rate data is unavailable for one or both fighters.

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