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UFC 331: Van vs Pantoja 2

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · Crypto.com Arena · Los Angeles

Main Card09:00 PM EDT

Fights13

UFC 331: Van vs Pantoja 2 takes place on Saturday, September 19, 2026 at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Picks Terminal covers 13 bouts on the card with win probabilities, matchup breakdowns and fight intel. Main event: Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van.

Main Event · Flyweight · Title BoutID · 5E6F1C47-593F-4019-82DA-800118416F2D

Rank #1 · Flyweight

Alexandre Pantoja

"The Cannibal"

30-6-0 · MMA

Champion · Flyweight

Joshua Van

"The Fearless"

17-2-0 · Freestyle

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Pantoja

46%

Edge8%

Van

54%

Skill Comparison

Striking

Wrestling

Cardio

Takedown Defense

Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

PantojaMetricVan

5' 5"Height5' 5"

67"Reach65"

36Age24

—Stance—

67%Finish Rate65%

Career Records

PantojaMetricVan

8Wins by KO/TKO9

12Wins by Submission2

10First-Round Finishes3

4.38Sig. Strikes / Min8.43

3.88Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.82

50%Striking Defense58%

2.79Knockdown Avg / 15 min0.82

69%Takedown Defense76%

0.98Submissions / 15 min0.21

11:56Avg. Fight Time13:15

Strike Distribution

Pantoja

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

63%

Body

21%

Leg

15%

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing81%

Clinch10%

Ground9%

Primary Position Standing

Van

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

73%

Body

19%

Leg

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing87%

Clinch8%

Ground5%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Van

Key Advantages

SLpM edge (8.43 vs 4.38)
TDD edge (76 vs 69)

Potential Concerns

Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
Alexandre Pantoja can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.

AI Analysis

Van's pace and combination volume create the cleaner minute-winning route; Pantoja's scrambling and submission threat keep the rematch tight.

Forecast

Expect Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja to test the matchup's primary phase early. Joshua Van is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

Van projects to win more extended striking exchanges through speed, output and body work. Pantoja can reverse the matchup by forcing layered takedown and back-taking sequences, where his control and submission experience are most dangerous. The estimate is an analyst-model forecast built from current UFC data and sample quality, not a market probability.

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