← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs ParnasseDelphine BenouaichSofia Montenegro

Delphine Benouaich vs Sofia MontenegroUFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse

Delphine Benouaich vs Sofia Montenegro — Women's Strawweight — is scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse in Accor Arena, Paris. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · Women's StrawweightID · E0A1DAB5-C99B-4C8D-86C1-6111ADB21EF1

Unranked · Women's Strawweight

Delphine Benouaich

7-2-0 · MMA

Unranked · Women's Strawweight

Sofia Montenegro

"La Bruja"

6-2-0 · Striker

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Benouaich

55%

Edge10%

Montenegro

45%

Skill Comparison

69
72
Striking
57
65
Wrestling
63
69
Cardio
—
100
Takedown Defense
72
67
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

BenouaichMetricMontenegro
5' 4"Height5' 6"
—Reach67.5"
31Age26
—Stance—
71%Finish Rate67%

Career Records

BenouaichMetricMontenegro
4Wins by KO/TKO3
1Wins by Submission1
—First-Round Finishes2
—Sig. Strikes / Min4.27
—Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min5.67
—Striking Defense49%
—Knockdown Avg / 15 min1
—Takedown Defense100%
—Submissions / 15 min0
00:00Avg. Fight Time15:00

Strike Distribution

Montenegro

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

70%

Body

20%

Leg

9%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Montenegro

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 70%Standing70%
Clinch — 6%Clinch6%
Ground — 23%Ground23%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Benouaich

Strengths

  • More complete available official UFC profile

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Sofia Montenegro changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Montenegro

Strengths

  • More complete available official UFC profile

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Delphine Benouaich changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Benouaich
Key Advantages
  • More complete available official UFC profile
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Delphine Benouaich can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Delphine Benouaich has the more repeatable overall route, while Sofia Montenegro retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Delphine Benouaich and Sofia Montenegro to test the matchup's primary phase early. Sofia Montenegro is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This women's strawweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 54% analyst-model lean toward Sofia Montenegro. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null. The final lean also incorporates verified pre-UFC professional experience because UFC-only rate data is unavailable for one or both fighters.

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