← UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs ParnasseKurtis CampbellTrevor Peek

Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor PeekUFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse

Kurtis Campbell vs Trevor Peek — Featherweight — is scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs Parnasse in Accor Arena, Paris. Picks Terminal covers the matchup with a win-probability estimate, a matchup breakdown and fight intel drawn from public sources.

Prelims · FeatherweightID · 32AACB8B-EDB2-4DDD-AD99-424E55A9E839

Unranked · Featherweight

Kurtis Campbell

"The Pink Panther"

8-1-0 · MMA

Trevor Peek

Unranked · Featherweight

Trevor Peek

9-3-0 · MMA

Win Probability Model · v4.2

Campbell

48%

Edge4%

Peek

52%

Skill Comparison

71
70
Striking
56
56
Wrestling
69
69
Cardio
50
53
Takedown Defense
73
71
Chin Durability

Physical Attributes

CampbellMetricPeek
5' 9"Height5' 9"
72"Reach70"
24Age31
—Stance—
75%Finish Rate—

Career Records

CampbellMetricPeek
5Wins by KO/TKO8
1Wins by Submission—
4First-Round Finishes6
3.50Sig. Strikes / Min4.39
2.63Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min3.88
51%Striking Defense44%
8.76Knockdown Avg / 15 min1.45
50%Takedown Defense53%
0Submissions / 15 min0
03:26Avg. Fight Time12:06

Strike Distribution

Campbell

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

67%

Body

21%

Leg

13%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Campbell

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 71%Standing71%
Clinch — 17%Clinch17%
Ground — 13%Ground13%

Primary Position Standing

Peek

Sig. Strikes by Target

Primary Target Head

Head

60%

Body

25%

Leg

15%
Sig. Strikes by Target — Peek

Sig. Strikes by Position

Standing — 72%Standing72%
Clinch — 18%Clinch18%
Ground — 11%Ground11%

Primary Position Standing

Fight Intel

Public Consensus

— Consensus data unavailable —

Latest News

— No recent news —

Campbell

Strengths

  • SApM edge (2.63 vs 3.88)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Trevor Peek changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing
Peek

Strengths

  • SLpM edge (4.39 vs 3.5)
  • TDD edge (53 vs 50)

Weaknesses

  • Potentially incomplete UFC sample
  • Can be punished when the preferred phase breaks down

Opportunities

  • Establish the preferred phase
  • Build repeatable offense over time

Threats

  • Kurtis Campbell changing the fight phase
  • High-impact momentum swing

In-Depth Analysis

Model favors Peek
Key Advantages
  • SLpM edge (4.39 vs 3.5)
  • TDD edge (53 vs 50)
Potential Concerns
  • Limited samples reduce certainty where official UFC rates are unavailable.
  • Kurtis Campbell can outperform the model by forcing a different fight phase.
  • One high-impact exchange can override the statistical baseline.
AI Analysis

Trevor Peek has the more repeatable statistical and stylistic route, while Kurtis Campbell retains a credible path if the fight settles in the preferred phase.

Forecast

Expect Kurtis Campbell and Trevor Peek to test the matchup's primary phase early. Trevor Peek is projected to create the more sustainable offense, but the opposing route remains live wherever UFC sample size is thin.

Skill ratings, win probability, advantages, concerns, and forecast are AI-generated predictions based on scraped fighter profiles — not official UFC stats or guarantees.

Matchup Breakdown

This featherweight matchup turns on phase control and sustainable output. The available official UFC rates produce a 52% analyst-model lean toward Trevor Peek. Confidence is reduced for debutants and fighters with small UFC samples, and missing values are deliberately left null.

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